Wings vs Liberty Prediction 7-16-26 WNBA Picks
Wings vs Liberty
July 16, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Wings -1.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Liberty and Dallas Wings meet Thursday in WNBA action at the College Park Center. Here’s a Wings vs Liberty Prediction. This article will include a Wings vs Liberty Pick.
New York Liberty Betting Preview
The New York Liberty need a win after losing 7 of their last 10 games. The Liberty has lost 5 of its last 6 road games.
The New York Liberty are averaging 87.8 points on 45.9 percent shooting and allowing 84.5 points on 43.9 percent shooting. Breanna Stewart is averaging 20.4 points and 2.7 assists, while Jonquel Jones is averaging 15 points and 9.3 rebounds. Sabrina Ionescu is the third double-digit scorer, and Satou Sabally is grabbing 2.8 rebounds. The New York Liberty are shooting 34.5 percent from beyond the arc and 85.6 percent from the free-throw line. The New York Liberty are allowing 32.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.4 rebounds per game.
Dallas Wings Betting Preview
The Dallas Wings look for a win after winning 7 of their last 9 games. The Wings have won 7 of their last 8 home games.
The Dallas Wings are averaging 89.5 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 85.4 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Paige Bueckers is averaging 20.7 points and 6.3 assists, while Jessica Shepard is averaging 15 points and 11.6 rebounds. Azzi Fudd is the third double-digit scorer, and Arike Ogunbowale is dishing out 2.8 assists. The Dallas Wings are shooting 33.7 percent from beyond the arc and 79.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Wings are allowing 35.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34 rebounds per game.
Why the Dallas Wings will win
- The Wings have won each of their last six night games at College Park Center.
- The Liberty have lost five of their last six games.
- The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven Thursday games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Wings have covered the spread in four of their last five games against the Liberty.
Why the New York Liberty will win
- The Liberty have won each of their last five night games following a road loss.
- The Wings have lost six of their last seven games at College Park Center against Liberty teams that held a winning record.
- The Wings have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the Wings’ last four games.
Total Points Facts
- Ten of the Liberty’s last 12 road games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the last six games between the Wings and Liberty have gone UNDER the total points line.
Dallas Wings Player Facts
- Arike Ogunbowale has recorded five games with 3+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
- Azzi Fudd ranks 4th in the league for fast break points (61) this season.
New York Liberty Player Facts
- Pauline Astier has recorded seven games with 2+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
- Breanna Stewart is one of only two players in the league to have recorded 7+ blocks in a game this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Dallas Wings rank 1st for assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.9).
- The Dallas Wings rank 1st for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.5).
- The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throws made per game this season (13.2).
- The New York Liberty rank 14th for field goal attempts per game this season (65.0).
Wings vs Liberty Injury Report
Alanna Smith is doubtful for the Wings with a leg injury.
Satou Sabally is out for the Liberty with a concussion. Leonie Fiebich is out with foot soreness.
Wings vs Liberty Prediction
As I’ve said before, the Liberty in the underdog role is always attractive given the talent on this team. You’re not going to have a lot of chances to get the Liberty and free buckets. However, the Liberty are still injured, piling up the losses, and haven’t had recent success on the road. The Wings are rolling, a young team gaining confidence, and they’ve already beaten the Liberty twice this season.
The Liberty are an older team that’s had issues keeping up with this athletic and youthful Wings side that pushes the pace offensively. This time, the game is in Dallas, so the Wings will be even more energetic with the crowd on their side. This line is soft. I’ll gladly lay the small number with the Wings.