Mercury vs Sun
July 17, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Mercury -5.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Connecticut Sun and Phoenix Mercury meet Friday in WNBA action at the Mortgage Matchup Center. Here’s a Mercury vs Sun Prediction. This article will include a Mercury vs Sun Pick.
Connecticut Sun Betting Preview
The Connecticut Sun need a win to rebound from this awful 6-18 record. The Sun have lost 23 of their last 30 regular-season games.
The Connecticut Sun are averaging 79.7 points on 43.5 percent shooting and allowing 86.4 points on 45.9 percent shooting. Brittney Griner is averaging 13.9 points and 2.6 assists, while Leila Lacan is averaging 12.5 points and 1.7 rebounds. Aneesah Morrow is the third double-digit scorer, and Aaliyah Edwards is dishing out 0.9 assists. The Connecticut Sun is shooting 27.6 percent from beyond the arc and 69.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Connecticut Sun is allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and is grabbing 33.2 rebounds per game.
Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview
The Phoenix Mercury need a win to snap a 4-game losing streak. The Mercury have lost 20 of their last 28 regular-season games.
The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 83.3 points on 43.8 percent shooting and allowing 87.3 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Kahleah Copper is averaging 20.5 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Alyssa Thomas is averaging 14.4 points and 8 assists. Monique Akoa Makani is the third double-digit scorer, and Jovana Nogic is grabbing 1.1 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 33 percent from beyond the arc and 79.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 37.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.6 rebounds per game.
Why the Phoenix Mercury will win
- The Sun have lost six of their last seven road games.
- The Mercury have won 21 of their last 27 games at the Mortgage Matchup Center against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The home team has covered the spread in four of the last five games between the Mercury and Sun.
- The Sun have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games at the Mortgage Matchup Center against Mercury teams that held a losing record.
Why the Connecticut Sun will win
- The Mercury have lost each of their last six home games following a road loss.
- The Sun have won each of their last four games against the Mercury following a home win.
- The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against Sun teams that held a losing record.
- The Sun have covered the spread in six of their last seven games against the Mercury.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Mercury’s last four games at the Mortgage Matchup Center following a road loss has gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the Sun’s last six road games have gone OVER the total points line.
Mercury vs Sun Injury Report
Natasha Mack is doubtful for the Mercury with a foot injury. Sami Whitcomb is questionable with a knee issue. Kyara Linskens is probable despite a knee issue.
Aneesah Morrow is doubtful for the Sun due to conditioning issues. Saniya Rivers is probable despite an ankle sprain.
Mercury vs Sun Prediction
These are two awful teams dating back to the end of last season, and I’m not thrilled to back either side. This is a spot where I’d usually cover my eyes and take the points, but the Mercury are the more talented team and should take advantage of games like this at home if they’re serious about hanging around the playoff race. With Thomas, Copper, and even Whitcomb back in the mix, the Mercury shouldn’t be losing this many games. This game is nasty work, but somebody has to win and cover the number. I’ll leave Mercury at home.
