Royals vs Padres Prediction 7/17/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Royals vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 17th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 38-59 this season after they lost all three against the Orioles by scores of 3-5, 1-6, and 2-8. In game three, Kansas City tied the game at two in the third inning, but failed to score over the last six innings for the loss. The Royals recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Thomas, who went 3-4 with one RBI. Lugo allowed four hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Strahm allowed five earned runs in relief for the loss. Prior to that series, Kansas City lost two out of three against the Mets, but did win two out of three against the Phillies before that. 

This season, Kansas City has a 4.95 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and a .264 opponent batting average, while they have scored 411 runs with a .246 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Carter Jensen has led the Royals with 13 home runs and 49 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added 13 home runs and 39 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Seth Lugo, who is 3-6 with a 4.56 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 104.2 innings pitched this season. 

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 48-48 this year after they won two out of three against the Blue Jays by scores of 3-5, 8-7, and 5-4. In game three, San Diego blew a 3-1 lead and trailed 4-3 late, but they scored two runs in the bottom of the eighth for the win. The Padres recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by France, who went 1-2 with one RBI. Marquez allowed six hits and three earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Morejon picked up the win and Miller got the save. Prior to that series, San Diego split four games with the Diamondbacks and lost three out of four against the Dodgers. 

This season, San Diego has a 4.23 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .247 opponent batting average, while they have scored 379 runs with a .226 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Manny Machado has led the Padres with 19 home runs and 55 RBIs, while Gavin Sheets has added 14 home runs and 40 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Michael King, who is 6-7 with a 3.41 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 108.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Padres have lost each of their last seven road games following a home win.
• The Royals have won five of their last six games as home underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven road games following a home win.
• The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a loss.
• The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven road games against AL Central opponents.
• The Royals have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against NL West opponents.
• The Royals have won the first inning in three of their last four home games.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Royals have lost each of their last 10 night games at Kauffman Stadium following a loss.
• The Padres have won each of their last seven games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 night games at Kauffman Stadium following a loss.
• The road team has covered the run line in seven of the last eight games between the Padres and Royals.
• The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in nine of their last 10 night games.
• The Royals have lost the first inning in four of their last five night games against National League opponents.
• The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Royals’ last seven night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Padres’ last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Padres’ last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in nine of the Royals’ last 10 home games.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Carter Jensen has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Seth Lugo has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL West opponents.
• Lane Thomas has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 12 games against NL opponents.
• Bobby Witt Jr. ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (30) this season.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Ty France has hit a home run in two of the Padres’ last three games as favorites against AL opponents.
• Michael King has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Padres as road favorites against AL opponents.
• Michael King has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Gavin Sheets has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks 6th in the league in Steals (23) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Royals rank 3rd in the league for doubles this season (178).
• The Royals rank 28th in the league for ERA this season (4.95).
• The Padres rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (379).
• The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (709).

Royals vs Padres Prediction 

Kansas City comes into this matchup on a lengthy losing streak and they have one of the worst records in all of baseball. The Royals are 21-26 at home this year, while the Padres are 21-24 on the road. San Diego has won three of their last five games and they have scored 5+ runs in all three of those wins. The Padres are starting King, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, while Lugo has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last four outings. Take the Padres on the road here.