Astros vs Orioles Prediction 7/18/26 MLB Picks Today

The Baltimore Orioles and Houston Astros meet Saturday in MLB action at Daikin Park. Here’s an Astros vs Orioles Prediction. This article will include an Astros vs Orioles Pick.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 47-51 on the year and play the Red Sox and Braves next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .238 on the season and have a .320 OBP and a .400 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles’ pitching staff has a 4.27 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP. Taylor Ward leads the Baltimore Orioles with 92 hits and 27 RBI, while Gunnar Henderson and Pete Alonso have combined for 180 hits and 107 RBI.

Trevor Rogers gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 6-7 with a 4.48 ERA and 69 strikeouts this season. Rogers is 1-0 with a 2.19 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 47-52 on the year and play the White Sox and Marlins next. The Houston Astros are batting. 242 on the season, have a .316 OBP, and have a .412 slugging percentage. The Houston Astros’ pitching staff has a 4.79 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez leads the Houston Astros with 113 hits and 71 RBI, while Isaac Paredes and Christian Walker have combined for 170 hits and 108 RBI.

Spencer Arrighetti gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 7-5 with a 4.50 ERA and 81 strikeouts this season. Arrighetti is 1-1 with a 1.54 ERA and 8 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Orioles have lost each of their last eight Saturday road games against American League opponents.
• The Astros have won seven of their last eight games following a home loss.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last nine Saturday games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against the Astros following a win.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games at Daikin Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games at Daikin Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Astros have won the first inning in each of their last four home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won each of their last five games.
• The Astros have lost four of their last five games.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last five games against American League opponents.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 16 home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in 13 of their last 16 day games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Orioles’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Astros’ last five games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Orioles’ last eight games.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Astros’ last seven Saturday games at Daikin Park.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Cam Smith has hit a home run in three of the Astros’ last five day games.
• Spencer Arrighetti has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
• Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 12 games against AL East opponents.
• Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.636) this season.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Taylor Ward has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances at Daikin Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• Trevor Rogers has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Christian Encarnacion-Strand has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Astros rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (431).
• The Astros rank 29th in the league for steals this season (34).
• The Orioles rank 27th in the league for strikeouts this season (893).
• The Orioles rank 4th in the league for walks this season (375).

Astros vs Orioles Prediction

The Orioles have caught fire all of a sudden, and the same can be said for Rogers, who has allowed 13 hits and 2 runs in his last 24.1 innings. Rogers has allowed 3 or fewer runs in each of his last 7 starts, which is the best he’s looked since his All-Star season with the Marlins. Arrighetti has allowed 23 runs in his last 19 innings, and the Astros have been outscored 4-31 in his last 5 starts. The fact we’re getting a pick em here feels like a crime. Give me the Orioles on the road.