WNBA Picks

Fever vs Liberty Prediction 7-18-26 WNBA Picks

Fever vs Liberty
July 18, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Fever +2.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Liberty and Indiana Fever meet Saturday in WNBA action at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Here’s a Fever vs Liberty Prediction. This article will include a Fever vs Liberty Pick.

New York Liberty Betting Preview

The New York Liberty need a win after losing 7 of their last 10 games. The Liberty has lost 5 of its last 6 road games.

The New York Liberty are averaging 87.8 points on 45.9 percent shooting and allowing 84.5 points on 43.9 percent shooting. Breanna Stewart is averaging 20.4 points and 2.7 assists, while Jonquel Jones is averaging 15 points and 9.3 rebounds. Sabrina Ionescu is the third double-digit scorer, and Satou Sabally is grabbing 2.8 rebounds. The New York Liberty are shooting 34.5 percent from beyond the arc and 85.6 percent from the free-throw line. The New York Liberty are allowing 32.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.4 rebounds per game.

Indiana Fever Betting Preview

The Indiana Fever look for a win after winning 5 of their last 7 games. The Fever have won 9 of their last 12 home games.

The Indiana Fever are averaging 93.9 points on 47.1 percent shooting and allowing 89.7 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Kelsey Mitchell is averaging 22.9 points and 2.8 assists, while Caitlin Clark is averaging 20.9 points and 4 rebounds. Aliyah Boston is the third double-digit scorer, and Sophie Cunningham is dishing out 1.3 assists. The Indiana Fever are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 82.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Fever are allowing 33.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.9 rebounds per game.

Why the Indiana Fever will win

  • The Liberty have lost each of their last three games as road favorites.
  • The underdogs have won seven of the Liberty’s last nine games.
  • The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites.
  • The Fever have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games as home underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.

Why the New York Liberty will win

  • The Liberty have won 15 of their last 16 night games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Fever have lost each of their last seven Saturday night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Fever have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five night games against Liberty teams that held a winning record.
  • The Liberty have covered the spread in each of their last five night games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of the Fever’s last eight night games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Seven of the Liberty’s last eight night games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

New York Liberty Player Facts

  • Jonquel Jones ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made per game (1.9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Indiana Fever rank 1st for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (20.8).
  • The Indiana Fever rank 1st for free throws made per game this season (18.8).
  • The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throw percentage this season (72.8%).
  • The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throws made per game this season (13.2).

Fever vs Liberty Injury Report

Caitlin Clark is probable for the Fever despite a back issue. Aliyah Boston is questionable with a leg injury.

Satou Sabally is out for the Liberty with a concussion. Leonie Fiebich is out with a foot injury.

Fever vs Liberty Prediction

The Fever and the free bucket are worth a look when you consider their success at home and the Liberty’s struggles overall. However, this is a massive schedule spot that favors the road team. The Fever played last night, and Blinngs, Timpson, Mitchell, and Clark logged heavy minutes. Who knows if Boston will be able to go. Meanwhile, the Liberty have had 6 days off after their game against the Wings was postponed. If the Liberty can’t use this to their advantage to stop the bleeding, it might be time to hit the panic button in Brooklyn. I’ll lay the bucket with the Liberty.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Liberty -2.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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