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Braves vs Rangers Prediction 7/18/26 MLB Picks Today

Texas Rangers (49-48) vs. Atlanta Braves (56-40)
July 18, 2026 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -115 / Texas Rangers -105; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Rangers prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 18th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 56-40 this year after they won game one by a score of 15-1 on Friday night. Atlanta scored the first 12 runs in the game and they cruised to the easy win. The Braves recorded 19 hits in the game and they were led by Baldwin, who went 3-4 with one home run and five RBIs. Sale allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Mederos closed out the game. Prior to this series, Atlanta lost two out of three against the Cardinals, but did win two out of three against the Pirates before that. 

This season, Atlanta has a 3.58 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .227 opponent batting average, while they have scored 475 runs with a .249 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 26 home runs and 59 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 16 home runs and 51 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Owen Murphy, who is 0-1 with a 2.25 ERA and a 0.25 WHIP over 4.0 innings pitched this year. 

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 49-48 this season after they lost game one by a score of 1-15 last night. Texas fell behind early in the game, but they scored in the eighth inning to avoid being shutout. The Rangers recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Lopez, who went 1-3 with one RBI. Quantrill allowed 11 hits and six earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Collyer allowed four earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Texas won two out of three against the Astros and two out of three against the Angels. 

This season, Texas has a 4.25 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while they have scored 400 runs with a .244 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Jake Burger has led the Rangers with 16 home runs and 58 RBIs, while Ezequiel Duran has added 10 home runs and 50 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is MacKenzie Gore, who is 5-8 with a 4.63 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 105.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Rangers have lost eight of their last nine games against NL East opponents following a loss.
  • The home team has won each of the last four games between the Rangers and Braves.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games following a loss.
  • The home team has covered the run line in each of the last four games between the Rangers and Braves.
  • The Braves have won the first inning in three of their last four day games at Truist Park.
  • The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games as favorites.
  • The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games at Truist Park.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

  • The Braves have lost each of their last six games as favorites against AL West opponents following a home win.
  • The Rangers have won each of their last seven Saturday day games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against AL West opponents following a home win.
  • The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last seven Saturday day games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against the Braves.
  • The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five home day games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Rangers’ last eight games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Seven of the Braves’ last eight games as favorites against the Rangers have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Rangers’ last six games against National League opponents.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Braves’ last six Saturday day games against American League opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Matt Olson has hit a home run in four of the Braves’ last five games against AL West opponents.
  • Dominic Smith has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous appearances against the Rangers.
  • Matt Olson ranks 7th in the league in Home Runs (26) this season.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Joc Pederson has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • MacKenzie Gore has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six Saturday appearances.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers’ last 10 games as road underdogs against NL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Braves rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.227).
  • The Braves rank 3rd in the league for hits allowed this season (720).
  • The Rangers rank 5th in the league for walks allowed this season (282).
  • The Rangers rank T25th in the league for runs scored this season (400).

Braves vs Rangers Prediction 

Atlanta started the second half of the season with a 15 run outburst on Friday night, as they continue to lead the NL East. The Braves are 28-18 at home this year, while the Rangers are 25-26 on the road. Texas won three of their last five games, but they have allowed 29 runs in their last three. The Rangers are starting Gore, who has allowed 1, 7, 5, and 3 earned runs in his last four starts, while Murphy has allowed one earned run over 4.0 innings. Take the over here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Over 9

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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