Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction 7/21/26 MLB Picks Today

The Tampa Bay Rays and Toronto Blue Jays meet Tuesday in MLB action at Rogers Centre. Here’s a Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction. This article will include a Blue Jays vs Rays Pick.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 57-42 on the year and play the Guardians and Rangers next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .258 on the season, have a .332 OBP, and have a .402 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays’ pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 114 hits and 57 RBI, while Jonathan Aranda and Junior Caminero have combined for 210 hits and 127 RBI.

Drew Rasmussen gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 7-5 with a 3.26 ERA and 98 strikeouts this season. Rasmussen is 3-4 with a 3.00 ERA and 41 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 46-54 on the year and play the Red Sox and Nationals next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .242 on the season and have a .304 OBP and a .380 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays’ pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Ernie Clement leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 111 hits and 32 RBI, while Kazuma Okamoto and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have combined for 172 hits and 103 RBI.

Kevin Gausman gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 4-8 with a 4.33 ERA and 116 strikeouts this season. Gausman is 8-10 with a 4.26 ERA and 153 strikeouts in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Rays have lost seven of their last eight games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have won nine of their last 13 games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven road games against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last nine games as favorites against the Blue Jays following a win.
• The Blue Jays have lost nine of their last 10 home games against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The road team has covered the run line in eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine games.
• The Rays have led after 3 innings in each of their last nine Tuesday games against the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last 12 Tuesday games against the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.
• The Rays have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Blue Jays’ last 11 home games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Rays’ last five games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games against American League opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Rays’ last eight games.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• George Springer has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with the Blue Jays as home underdogs.
• Nathan Lukes has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances after playing the previous day.
• Ernie Clement ranks T5th in the league in Hits (109) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Victor Mesa Jr. has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances.
• Drew Rasmussen has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Chandler Simpson has recorded at least one hit in each of his 14 previous appearances against the Blue Jays after playing the previous day.
• Drew Rasmussen is one of only three pitchers to record 90+ Strikeouts and 20 or fewer walks this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (5).
• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (5).
• The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (699).
• The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (699).

Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction

I’m not thrilled to back either the Blue Jays or Rays, two teams that are coming off rough weeks. However, somebody has to win. The Rays have obviously shown us more up to this point, and Rasmussen is an All-Star who has a 3.26 ERA and 0.95 WHIP through 99.1 frames. Gausman has been hit or miss, and he’s allowed 9 hits and 7 earned runs in his last 11.1 innings. In 109 at-bats against current Rays, Gausman is allowing a .367 batting average, .391 on-base percentage, and .468 slugging percentage. Oh no. Give me the Rays and the near pick ’em price.