Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction 7/26/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Red Sox vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 26th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 53-50 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 6-4 and 0-6. In game two, Boston fell behind in the third inning and never found any offense in the shutout loss. The Red Sox recorded one hit and they were led by Monasterio, who went 1-3 in the game. Gray allowed 10 hits and five earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Gamboa threw the last four innings in relief. Prior to this series, Boston won two out of three against the Orioles and all four against the Rays. 

This season, Boston has a 3.59 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while they have scored 432 runs with a .243 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Willson Contreras has led the Red Sox with 22 home runs and 66 RBIs, while Jarren Duran has added 13 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Ranger Suarez, who is 4-3 with a 3.15 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 91.1 innings pitched this year. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 48-57 this season after they won game two by a score of 6-0 on Saturday afternoon. Toronto scored five runs in the third inning and an insurance run in the ninth in the lopsided win. The Blue Jays recorded 15 hits in the game and they were led by Springer, who went 2-5 with one home run and three RBIs. Cease allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 9.0 innings for the win. Prior to this series, Toronto lost three out of four against the Rays and two out of three against the White Sox. 

This season, Toronto has a 4.13 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 415 runs with a .242 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 23 home runs and 65 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added seven home runs and 39 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 4-9 with a 4.51 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 115.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won 10 of their last 11 games after playing the previous day.
• The Blue Jays have lost eight of their last nine day games against AL East opponents following a road win.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 16 games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last four games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in 12 of their last 14 games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in each of their last three games as road underdogs.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven games as road underdogs.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won eight of their last 10 games as road underdogs against the Red Sox.
• The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Blue Jays following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against the Red Sox following a road win.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 day games following a home loss.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games against the Red Sox.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against the Red Sox.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last five day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the last six games between the Blue Jays and Red Sox at Fenway Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Kevin Gausman’s last six road appearances as a starter.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Red Sox’s last four games as favorites.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Carlos Narvaez has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Red Sox as favorites against the Blue Jays.
• Ranger Suarez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances.
• Andruw Monasterio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Willson Contreras ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.552) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Kazuma Okamoto has hit a home run in two of the Blue Jays’ last three games as road underdogs.
• Kevin Gausman has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.
• Nathan Lukes has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against AL East opponents.
• Ernie Clement ranks 5th in the league in Hits (117) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Red Sox rank 29th in the league for home runs this season (98).
• The Red Sox rank 29th in the league for home runs this season (98).
• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (415).
• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (415).

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction 

Boston never showed up offensively in Saturday’s loss, but they are still one of the hottest teams in the MLB over the last three weeks. The Red Sox are 24-29 at home this year, while the Blue Jays are 22-27 on the road. Toronto has won two of their last three games, but they are 13.5 games back in the AL East. The Blue Jays are starting Gausman, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in four of his last five starts, while Suarez has allowed three earned runs in back to back starts and is coming off of the IL. Take the over here.