Sky vs Mercury Prediction 8-3-26 WNBA Picks

The Phoenix Mercury and Chicago Sky meet Monday in WNBA action at the Wintrust Arena. Here’s a Sky vs Mercury Prediction. This article will include a Sky vs Mercury Pick.

Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview

The Phoenix Mercury look for a win after winning 3 of their last 4 games. The Mercury have lost 22 of their last 33 regular-season games.

The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 83.5 points on 44.3 percent shooting and allowing 86.9 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Kahleah Copper is averaging 20.9 points and 3.7 rebounds, while Alyssa Thomas is averaging 14.9 points and 8.3 assists. Jovana Nogic is the third double-digit scorer, and DeWanna Bonner is grabbing 5.8 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 32.1 percent from beyond the arc and 78.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 36.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.3 rebounds per game.

Chicago Sky Betting Preview

The Chicago Sky look for a win after splitting their last 12 games. The Sky have won 6 of their last 7 home games.

The Chicago Sky are averaging 87.6 points on 44.3 percent shooting and allowing 89.4 points on 44.1 percent shooting. Sydney Taylor is averaging 14.7 points and 1.6 rebounds, while Kamilla Cardoso is averaging 14.3 points and 8.4 rebounds. Skylar Diggins is the third double-digit scorer, and Azura Stevens is grabbing 6.9 rebounds. The Chicago Sky are shooting 31.7 percent from beyond the arc and 76.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Chicago Sky are allowing 30.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.9 rebounds per game.

Why the Chicago Sky will win

• The Sky have won each of their last six games at Wintrust Arena.
• The Mercury have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Sky have covered the spread in each of their last eight home games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine night games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Phoenix Mercury will win

• The Sky have lost each of their last nine home games after winning as underdogs.
• The favorites have won each of the last nine games between the Sky and Mercury at Wintrust Arena.
• The Sky have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as home underdogs after winning as underdogs.
• The favorites have covered the spread in each of the last six games between the Sky and Mercury at Wintrust Arena.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Mercury’s last nine games against the Sky following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of the Sky’s last five night games at Wintrust Arena have gone OVER the total points line.

Chicago Sky Player Facts

• Courtney Vandersloot has recorded 4+ steals + blocks in each of her last one games – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Sydney Taylor ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (3.6) this season.

Phoenix Mercury Player Facts

• Kahleah Copper is one of only three players in the league to have recorded 25+ points and 5+ rebounds in consecutive games this season.
• Noemie Brochant is one of only 13 players to have recorded a 15-point, 10-assist game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Chicago Sky rank 14th for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (23.9).
• The Chicago Sky have recorded the largest comeback win after Q1 this season – trailing by 14 points vs Connecticut Sun on June 5.
• The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for field goal attempts per game this season (65.2).
• The Phoenix Mercury have scored 90+ points in each of their last two games – the team’s equal-longest streak since 2023.

Sky vs Mercury Injury Report

The Sky will be without Rickea Jackson due to a knee injury. Azura Stevens is out due to personal reasons. Skylar Diggins is out with a knee injury.

Kelsey Plum is questionable for the Mercury due to a pending physical. Sami Whitcomb is probable despite a knee issue.

Sky vs Mercury Prediction

The Mercury are going to get love from bettors with the addition of Plum, but pump the brakes a bit. While it adds another scorer for Thomas to dish to and takes pressure off of Copper, the Mercury are still rough defensively and still have a turnover issue on offense. The addition makes the offense deeper, but it doesn’t fix the reasons why the Mercury are out of serious playoff conversations. The Sky have played their best ball at home, and their last-second win over the Aces adds to the confidence. Whether Plum makes her debut or not, I’m rolling with the Sky at home.