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Dolphins vs Commanders Prediction 8/14/26 NFL Picks Today

Dolphins vs Commanders
August 14, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Dolphins -3 / Commanders +3 / Over/Under: 36
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Dolphins vs Commanders Prediction for this NFL Preseason Week 1 game on Friday, August 14th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Washington Commanders Preview

The Washington Commanders finished last season with a 5-12-0 record and were placed 3rd in the NFC East. They had a 2-6 home record and a 3-6 away record.

Offensively, the Commanders averaged 20.9 points per game, ranking 22nd in the NFL, while defensively, they allowed 26.5 points per game, which was 27th. Washington averaged 318.8 total yards per game (184.1 passing and 134.7 rushing), while allowing 384.3 total yards per game (141.8 rushing and 242.5 passing).

Marcus Mariota led the Commanders with 1,695 passing yards with 61.2% completed passes and 10 touchdowns. Jacory Croskey-Merritt led the team in rushing yards with 805, while Deebo Samuel had a team-high 72 receptions for 727 receiving yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Bobby Wagner had a team-high 162 total tackles (79 of them solo), while Von Miller led the team in sacks with 9.0, and Mike Sainristil led the team with four interceptions.

Miami Dolphins Preview

The Miami Dolphins finished last season with a 7-10-0 record and were placed 3rd in the AFC East. They had a 5-4 home record and a 2-6 away record.

Offensively, the Dolphins averaged 20.4 points per game, ranking 25th in the NFL, while defensively, they allowed 24.9 points per game, which was 24th. Miami averaged 300.7 total yards per game (180.5 passing and 120.2 rushing), while allowing 348.8 total yards per game (132.4 rushing and 216.4 passing).

Tua Tagovailoa led the Dolphins with 2,660 passing yards with 67.7% completed passes and 20 touchdowns. De’Von Achane led the team in rushing yards with 1,350 and overall receptions with 67, while Jaylen Waddle had a team-high 910 receiving yards on 64 receptions with four touchdowns. Defensively, Jordyn Brooks had a team-high 183 total tackles (99 of them solo), while Bradley Chubb led the team in sacks with 8.5, and Rasul Douglas led the team with two interceptions.

Dolphins vs Commanders Prediction

The Dolphins are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Commanders, having won their last two visits in Washington. Under is 5-1 in their 6 meetings.

In this Dolphins vs Commanders Prediction, the Dolphins are coming as -3 road favorites. The Dolphins revamped their roster by trading star receiver Jaylen Waddle to Denver and moving on from quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. They replaced high-priced veterans with a younger core to clear cap space and make a reset. The Commanders parted ways with a few veteran rotational pieces on defense to clear the way for younger players. They brought in star receiver Stefon Diggs and linebacker Leo Chenal to add playmaking and speed to the front seven.

I have to look at the Commanders at home in their preseason opener, as both teams had opposite goals in the offseason, with the Dolphins looking for a rebuild and the Commanders are looking to be better than last season. Take the Commanders by +3 at home in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Washington Commanders +3

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