Marlins vs Red Sox Prediction 8/26/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 26th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 67-66 this season after they lost the first two games by scores of 2-4 and 3-7. In game two, Miami tied the game at three in the bottom of the 10th inning, but couldn’t score in the 11th in the loss. The Marlins recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Hernandez, who went 1-5 with one home run and one RBI. Phillips allowed three hits and one earned run over 4.2 innings, while Gibson picked up the loss.  Prior to this series, Miami swept the Nationals in three games, but lost all three against the Phillies before that. 

This season, Miami has a 3.91 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while they have scored 578 runs with a .249 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Otto Lopez has led the Marlins with nine home runs and 59 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added 13 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Ryan Gusto, who is 0-3 with a 4.37 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 57.2 innings pitched this season. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 73-59 this year after they won game two by a score of 7-3 in extra innings. Boston blew a 2-1 and a 3-2 lead, but they scored four runs in the 11th to get the win. The Red Sox recorded seven hits and they committed two errors, while they were led by Duran, who went 1-5 with one home run and four RBIs. Tolle allowed four hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Gamboa picked up the win. Prior to this series, Boston swept the Giants in three games and won two out of three against the Diamondbacks. 

This season, Boston has a 3.48 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 600 runs with a .251 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Willson Contreras has led the Red Sox with 26 home runs and 78 RBIs, while Jarren Duran has added 18 home runs and 66 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Sonny Gray, who is 16-3 with a 2.79 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 138.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won three of their last four games as home underdogs after going to extra innings.
• The Red Sox have lost six of their last nine games as favorites against NL opponents following a road win.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as road favorites following an extra innings win.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in 10 of their last 13 road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won each of their last 18 night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have lost each of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line each of their last 10 road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against AL opponents.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs against AL opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Marlins’ last six games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Red Sox’s last five games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 11 of the Marlins’ last 12 games as underdogs.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of Sonny Gray’s last seven appearances as a starter.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Heriberto Hernandez has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances with the Marlins as home underdogs.
• Ryan Gusto has recorded four or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.
• Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 12 home games against opponents that held a winning record.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Mickey Gasper has hit at least one home run in four of the Red Sox’s last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Sonny Gray has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Red Sox as favorites against NL opponents.
• Jarren Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last nine road games against NL opponents.
• Sonny Gray has recorded a win in each of his last seven appearances against NL opponents.

Marlins vs Red Sox Prediction 

Boston comes into this matchup on a nice winning streak and they have allowed three runs or fewer in three of their last four games. The Red Sox are 39-27 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 41-27 at home. Miami has won three of their last five games and they continue to fight for a wild card spot. The Marlins are starting Gusto, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts, while Gray has allowed 4, 0, 2, 0, and 4 earned runs in his last five outings. Take the Marlins and the plus money here.