Pirates vs White Sox Prediction 9/9/26 MLB Picks Today
Pittsburgh Pirates (72-73) vs. Chicago White Sox (75-69)
September 9, 2026 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago White Sox -156 / Pittsburgh Pirates 129; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Pirates vs White Sox Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, September 9th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Chicago White Sox Preview
The Chicago White Sox have a 75-69 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the AL Central. They have a 43-29 home record and are coming off a 3-9 home loss against the Pirates. They will face the Cardinals and the Guardians next.
The Chicago White Sox have a .236 batting average this season, .318 OBP and .407 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Chase Meidroth is the team’s best hitter with a .269 batting average. Colson Montgomery leads the team in RBI with 83, adding a team-high 31 home runs.
Davis Martin (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox, and he has a 9-6 record, 4.13 ERA and 1.32 WHIP.
Pittsburgh Pirates Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 72-73 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL Central. They have a 34-39 road record and are coming off a 9-3 road win against the White Sox. They will face the Cubs and the Brewers next.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a .253 batting average this season, .331 OBP and .403 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the team’s best hitter with a .306 batting average. Brandon Lowe leads the team in RBI with 83, adding a team-high 29 home runs.
Lake Bachar (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and he has a 1-3 record, 3.59 ERA and 1.08 WHIP.
Pittsburgh Pirates @ the Chicago White Sox Betting Trends: September 9, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Davis Martin Record this season: 9-6 ERA: 4.13
- Home Record: 5-1
- Last 5 against Pirates: –
Why the Chicago White Sox will win
- The White Sox have won each of their last eight games following a home loss.
- The Pirates have lost seven of their last eight road games against AL opponents following a road win.
- The White Sox have covered the run line in each of their last eight night games following a home loss.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as road underdogs against AL opponents following a road win.
- The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six Wednesday games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Lake Bachar Record this season: 1-3 ERA: 3.59
- Road Record: 1-2
- Last 5 against White Sox: 0-0
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The road team has won each of the last seven games between the Pirates and White Sox.
- The White Sox have lost 13 of their last 14 home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the last nine games between the Pirates and White Sox.
- The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in 15 of their last 17 home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The White Sox have lost the first inning in four of their last five games against NL Central opponents.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Pirates have led after 3 innings in each of their last six night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the White Sox’s last eight home games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Pirates’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Pirates’ last nine road games against AL Central opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the White Sox’s last eight home games against NL Central opponents.
Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts
- Davis Martin has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against NL opponents.
- Davis Martin has recorded five or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 12 appearances against NL opponents.
- Sam Antonacci has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous Wednesday appearances at Rate Field.
- Brenton Doyle has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
- Colson Montgomery ranks T10th in the league in Home Runs (31) this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Rafael Flores has hit a home run in each of the Pirates’ last two games as underdogs.
- Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Pirates as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- Lake Bachar has recorded three or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Nick Gonzales ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.306) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The White Sox rank 6th in the league for runs scored this season (683).
- The White Sox rank 6th in the league for home runs this season (189).
- The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (140).
- The Pirates rank 3rd in the league for hits this season (1263).
Pirates vs White Sox Prediction
The White Sox are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Pirates but have lost their last four meetings in Chicago.
In this Pirates vs White Sox Prediction, the White Sox are coming as -150 home favorites. I like the White Sox in a bounce back spot at home with Davis Martin on the mound, who has been excellent at home this season with a 5-1 record and 3.20 ERA. On the flip side, reliever Lake Bachar has been bad on the road in limited action with a 4.93 ERA and the White Sox have both a better offense and bullpen ERA in their last 5 games. Take the White Sox to win.