UTSA vs Texas State Prediction Football Picks Today 9/12/26

In this article, we will formulate a UTSA vs Texas State Prediction for this College Football Week 2 matchup on Saturday, September 12^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Texas State Preview

The Bobcats are 0-1 this season and are coming off a 7-59 away defeat in Texas, where they were outgained by their opponents 516-349 yards and had 75 total plays. The Bobcats had 188 passing yards, 161 rushing yards, and 20/29 completed passes. They were 8/14 on third down conversions, had 3-30 penalties and lost the turnover battle by 3-1.

Brad Jackson led the Bobcats with 20/29 passes and 188 passing yards. Jaylen Jenkins had a team-high 34 rushing yards, while Tucker Cusano caught 3 passes for a team-high 58 receiving yards. Defensively, Terrence Cooks II led the Bobcats with 8 total tackles, 3 of them solo, and Tymere Jackson led the team with one sack.

UTSA Preview

The Roadrunners have a 1-0 record this season and are coming off a 45-16 home win over UT Rio Grande Valley, where they outgained their opponents 527-422 yards and had 76 total plays. The Roadrunners had 275 passing yards, 252 rushing yards, and 22/29 completed passes. They were 3/9 on third down conversions, had 11-115 penalties and won the turnover battle by 0-2.

Owen McCown led the Roadrunners with 22/27 passes and 275 passing yards. Will Henderson III had a team-high 101 rushing yards, while DJ Allen Jr. caught 3 passes for a team-high 116 receiving yards. Defensively, Joel Rogers led the Roadrunners with 7 total tackles, 4 of them solo, and James Walley Jr. led the team with one sack.

UTSA Roadrunners @ Texas State Bobcats Betting Trends: Week 2

Why the Texas State Bobcats will win

• Texas State has won eight of its last nine games against non-conference opponents at UFCU Stadium.
• UTSA has lost each of its last six games as an underdog against teams from Texas.
• UTSA has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six road games in September.
• Texas State has covered the spread in six of its last seven games against opponents from the American Conference.
• Texas State has won the first half in each of its last eight games as a favorite against teams from Texas.
• Texas State has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against non-conference opponents at UFCU Stadium.

Why the UTSA Roadrunners will win

• UTSA has won each of its last four games against non-conference opponents.
• The road team has covered the spread in five of the last six games between UTSA and Texas State.
• Texas State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games in September.
• UTSA has won the first half in each of its last four games against non-conference opponents.
• UTSA has won the first quarter in seven of its last 10 games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Each of UTSA’s last 15 games in Texas have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of Texas State’s last eight games at UFCU Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Texas State Bobcats Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 2, Blake Smith ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

UTSA Roadrunners Player Prop Facts

• Owen McCown has recorded a 130.0+ passer rating in seven consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS.

Matchup/League Facts

• Texas State ranks T137th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (21.0).
• Texas State ranks T137th among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (-21.0).
• UTSA ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
• UTSA ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).

UTSA vs Texas State Prediction

Both squad had opposite outcomes in the opening week, as the Bobcats were blown out by 52 and UTSA had an easy one at home, winning by 29 UT Rio Grande Valley, with both games being high-scoring ones. Those two teams are playing high-scoring games whenever they meet and the over is 5-2 in their last 7 matchups and the books are expecting a high-scoring affair as you can see from the total set at 66.5 points. Don’t let that discourage you, the play here is over 66.5 points.