College Football

Minnesota vs Mississippi State Prediction Football Picks Today 9/12/26

Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-0) vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers (1-0)
September 12, 2026 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Golden Gophers -1.5 / Mississippi State Bulldogs +1.5; Over/Under: 54.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Minnesota Golden Gophers meet in week 2 college football action from Huntington Bank Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers Prediction.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Recap

The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this game looking to add on to their 62-13 win over Louisiana-Monroe last time out to sit at 1-0 this season. After this game, Mississippi State will head on the road again for a game against South Carolina.

Bulldogs Looking For Signature Road Win

Kamario Taylor completed 22 of 34 passes for 354 yards and 4 touchdowns, while adding 59 rushing yards and a touchdown on 6 carries. Parker Puckett completed 5 of 8 passes for 63 yards. J.J. Hill led the Bulldogs in rushing with 118 yards and 2 touchdowns on 7 carries, while Xavier Gayten added a rushing touchdown. Anthony Evans III caught 7 passes for 118 yards and a touchdown, Marquis Johnson had 3 receptions for 99 yards and a touchdown, and Zion Ragins and Sanfrisco Magee each caught a touchdown pass. On defense, Jalen Smith recorded a team-high 8 total tackles. Trevion Williams logged 1 sack, while Dealyn Evans and Amaree Williams split a sack.

Minnesota Golden Gophers Recap

The Minnesota Golden Gophers come into this game looking to add on to their 59-7 win over Eastern Illinois last time out to sit at 1-0 on the year. After this game, Minnesota will take on Akron at home.

Golden Gophers Looking For Another Strong Showing

Drake Lindsey completed 19 of 24 passes for 264 yards and a touchdown, while Max Shikenjanski went 3 for 3 for 50 yards and Brady Palmer finished 4 of 6 for 34 yards. Darius Taylor led the Golden Gophers on the ground with 56 yards and 3 touchdowns on 14 carries, while Xavier Ford and Max Shikenjanski each added a rushing score. Javon Tracy led all receivers with 5 receptions for 98 yards, and Pierce Walsh hauled in Minnesota’s lone receiving touchdown. On defense, Maverick Baranowski posted a team-high 6 total tackles, TJ Bush Jr. recorded the team’s only sack, and Javon Tracy scored 2 defensive touchdowns.

Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Minnesota Golden Gophers Betting Trends: Week 2

 

Why the Minnesota Golden Gophers will win

  • Minnesota has won each of its last eight games at Huntington Bank Stadium.
  • Mississippi State has lost each of its last four road games in September.
  • Minnesota has covered the spread in each of its last four games.
  • Mississippi State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four September games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Mississippi State has lost the first half in each of its last 11 games as a road underdog.
  • Minnesota has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against non-conference opponents at Huntington Bank Stadium.

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

  • Mississippi State has won six of its last seven games against non-conference opponents.
  • Mississippi State has covered the spread in each of its last six games in September.
  • Mississippi State has won the first quarter in four of its last five games as a road underdog.
  • Mississippi State has won the first half in six of its last seven games against non-conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Mississippi State’s last four games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of Minnesota’s last four home games in September have gone OVER the total points line.

Minnesota Golden Gophers Player Prop Facts

  • Drake Lindsey has thrown zero interceptions in six consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 2.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 2, J.J. Hill ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Yards Per Carry (16.9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Minnesota ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
  • Minnesota ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
  • Mississippi State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
  • Mississippi State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (0.0).

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers Prediction

I’m on Minnesota at home here. I think that Minnesota has the more proven QB situation here with Lindsey really impressing for Minnesota last year and in this year’s opener, and a win over ULM at home tells me nothing. Minnesota may not have had the greatest amount of success over the years, but this is still a tough road environment for any team to roll into and I think Minnesota gets it done at home here. Give me the Gophers.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Minnesota Golden Gophers -1.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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