College Football

Fresno State vs Sacramento State Prediction Football Picks Today 9/12/26

Sacramento State Hornets (1-1) vs. Fresno State Bulldogs (0-1)
September 12, 2026 10:30 pm EDT
The Line: Fresno State Bulldogs -17.5 / Sacramento State Hornets +17.5; Over/Under: 45.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Sacramento State Hornets and the Fresno State Bulldogs meet in week 2 college football action from Valley Children’s Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Sacramento State Hornets vs. Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction.

Sacramento State Hornets Recap

The Sacramento State Hornets come into this game looking to add on to their 52-0 win over Mississippi Valley last time out to sit at 1-1 on the year. After this game, Sacramento State will take on North Dakota State at home.

Hornets Looking For Big Time Road Win

Jackson Sharman completed 18 of 28 passes for 247 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 1 interception, while Brian Salazar completed his only attempt for 3 yards. Daniel Swinney led the Hornets on the ground with 58 yards and a touchdown on 8 carries, while Jaylen Patterson (50 yards on 3 carries) and Jamar Curtis (30 yards on 8 carries) each added a rushing score. Matt Coleman dominated the passing game with 6 receptions for 141 yards and 3 touchdowns, and Jace Wilson caught 3 passes for 48 yards and a touchdown. On defense, Boogsie Silvera recorded a team-high 7 total tackles. Nick Dimitris, Diego Davis, Collin Kallhoff, and Malachi Kindle each registered a sack to give Sacramento State 4 total sacks on the day.

Fresno State Bulldogs Recap

The Fresno State Bulldogs come into this game looking to bounce back from their 39-0 loss at the hands of USC last time out to sit at 0-1 on the year. After this game, Fresno State will head on the road for a game against San Jose State.

Bulldogs Looking to Get On The Board Much Less The Win Column

Jayden Mandal completed 7 of 15 passes for 77 yards and 1 interception. Rayshon Luke led the Bulldogs in rushing with 21 yards on 8 carries, while Harold Duvall pacing the receiving unit with 2 catches for 34 yards. On defense, K’vion Thunderbird posted a team-high 9 total tackles (6 solo, 2 TFL), while Simeon Harris, Tytus Khajavi, Martin Owusu, and Jahzon Jacks each added 7 tackles. The Fresno State defense failed to record a sack and did not log any turnovers in the effort.

Sacramento State Hornets @ Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Trends: Week 2

 

Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win

  • Fresno State has won each of its last 12 games as a home favorite against teams from California.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in four of Fresno State’s last five games.
  • Fresno State has won the first quarter in each of its last six home games in September.
  • Fresno State has won the first half in each of its last six home games in September.

Why the Sacramento State Hornets will win

  • Fresno State has lost three of its last four games against teams from California.
  • Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in six of its last eight games as a home favorite against teams from California.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Fresno State’s last four games at Valley Children’s Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.

Fresno State Bulldogs Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 2, Harold Duvall ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Sacramento State Hornets Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 2, Onterrio Smith Jr. ranks T1st amongst FBS players for receptions (12) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Fresno State ranks 138th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (-23.0).
  • Fresno State ranks 137th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (23.0).
  • Sacramento State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
  • Sacramento State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).

Sacramento State Hornets vs. Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction

I’m on the Bulldogs here. Sacramento State can beat up on Mississippi Valley State all they want, but is MVSU good at any sport? It doesn’t seem like it. Fresno State took on a beast in USC and they get to take out some frustration here after their showing in that game or lack thereof. I think Fresno State gets it done here so give me the Bulldogs in a beatdown.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Fresno State Bulldogs -17.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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