Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 9/12/26 MLB Picks Today

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves meet Saturday in MLB action from Truist Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Philadelphia Phillies did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted. Tyler Mahle will start for the Braves here and Mahle is 5-10 with a 4.05 ERA and 124 strikeouts this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to rebound from a 6-5 loss at the hands of the Braves on Friday to fall to 82-66 this season. After this series, the Phillies will head on the road for a series against the Washington Nationals.

Phillies Lose 6 Of Last 9

Entering Friday, Kyle Schwarber has 127 hits with 17 doubles, 44 home runs and 92 RBIs. Brandon Marsh has 131 hits with 19 doubles, 17 home runs and 58 RBIs while Justin Crawford also has 102 hits with 18 doubles, 4 triples, 2 home runs and 35 RBIs. Trea Turner has 141 hits with 27 doubles, 19 home runs and 56 RBIs and Bryce Harper’s added 139 hits with 28 doubles, 27 home runs and 82 RBIs this season.

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Phillies last time out to sit at 87-61 this season. After this series, the Braves will head on the road for a series against the Chicago Cubs.

Braves Win Back-To-Back Games

Going into Friday, Drake Baldwin has 135 hits with 16 doubles, 23 home runs and 71 RBIs while Matt Olson has 141 hits with 33 doubles, 37 homers and 81 RBIs. Ozzie Albies has added 139 hits with 26 doubles, 21 home runs and 68 RBIs and Ronald Acuna Jr. has 89 hits with 16 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 45 RBIs. Austin Riley has 115 hits with 21 doubles, 16 home runs and 67 RBIs and Michael Harris II has 152 hits with 32 doubles, 24 home runs and 80 RBIs and Mauricio Dubon has 137 hits with 25 doubles, 2 triples, 11 home runs and 66 RBIs this season.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: September 12, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Tyler Mahle      Record this season: 5-10      ERA: 4.05
• Home Record: 4-3
• Last 5 against Phillies: 1-2

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last eight games against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The Phillies have lost each of their last seven games as underdogs against NL opponents.
• The Braves have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight Saturday games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Braves have won the first inning in each of their last four home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 home games against NL East opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: TBD

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Braves have lost each of their last 10 games after going to extra innings.
• The Phillies have won each of their last eight games after going to extra innings.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites after going to extra innings.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last eight Saturday night road games.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight night games against NL opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games against NL opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Braves’ last four games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Phillies’ last seven games as underdogs against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games as underdogs.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Tyler Mahle’s last five home appearances as a starter.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Mahle has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as a favorite against NL East opponents.
• Matt Olson has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last two home games against the Phillies.
• Drake Baldwin has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 17 night games.
• Tyler Mahle has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games against the Braves.
• Luis Arraez has recorded two or more hits in each of his last nine appearances at Truist Park against opponents that held a winning record.
• Luis Arraez ranks T1st in the league in Hits (177) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Braves rank 29th in the league for triples this season (11).
• The Braves rank 28th in the league for walks this season (422).
• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1443).
• The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction

I’m leaning towards Atlanta here. Mahle’s not my favorite option in this Atlanta rotation, but I think the Braves have been able to take care of business in key spots and as of late, the Phillies have had some issues against right-handed pitching and I think the Braves find a way to get the job done in this one. Give me Atlanta.