Twins vs Yankees Prediction 9/14/26 MLB Picks Today
NY Yankees (86-63) vs. Minnesota Twins (70-79)
September 14, 2026 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins 113 / NY Yankees -136; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Monday, September 14th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 70-79 this year after they lost two out of three against the Guardians by scores of 2-5, 4-3, and 2-9. In game three, Minnesota cut the deficit to 2-1 in the third inning, but only scored once in the last six innings for the loss. The Twins recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Larnach, who went 2-3 with one home run and one RBI. Ryan allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Rogers allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, Minnesota lost two out of three against the Tigers and two out of three against the White Sox.
This season, Minnesota has a 4.69 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while they have scored 683 runs with a .244 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Byron Buxton has led the Twins with 25 home runs and 46 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added 19 home runs and 86 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Dean Kremer, who is 3-5 with a 5.65 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 71.2 innings pitched this year.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 86-63 this season after they won two out of three against the Mets by scores of 6-4, 2-12, and 2-0. In game three, New York took the lead in the first inning and led the whole way in the shutout victory. The Yankees recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Rice, who went 1-2 with one home run and one RBI. Schlittler allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Bednar picked up the save. Prior to that series, New York swept the Rockies in three games, but lost two out of three against the Padres before that.
This season, New York has a 3.24 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .223 opponent batting average, while they have scored 677 runs with a .235 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 38 home runs and 90 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 15 home runs and 69 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Will Warren, who is 10-6 with a 4.05 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 142.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Yankees have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against AL opponents following a home win.
- The Twins have won each of their last nine Monday night home games against AL opponents.
- The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Monday home games.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against AL opponents following a home win.
- The Twins have won the first inning in five of their last six games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games as home underdogs.
- The Twins have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games as home underdogs.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won each of their last six night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Twins have lost each of their last four night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have covered the run line each of their last six night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have led after 3 innings in 10 of their last 12 night games against the Twins.
- The Yankees have won the first inning in four of their last five games at Target Field.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Yankees’ last five games against AL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Twins’ last seven night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Twins’ last eight games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Yankees’ last four games.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Dean Kremer has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his six previous appearances at Target Field.
- Dean Kremer has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL East opponents .
- Trevor Larnach has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.
- Austin Martin has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances against AL East opponents.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Jones has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last four road games against AL opponents.
- Will Warren has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances after playing the previous day.
- Luis Garcia ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.551) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Twins rank 26th in the league for ERA this season (4.69).
- The Twins rank 26th in the league for runs allowed this season (745).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.24).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (552).
Twins vs Yankees Prediction
Minnesota comes into this matchup after losing three of their last four games and they have allowed 21 runs in those three losses. The Twins are 39-36 at home this year, while the Yankees are 44-31 on the road. New York has won four of their last five games and they have scored 6+ runs in three of those four wins. The Yankees are starting Warren, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts, while Kremer has allowed 4+ earned runs in three of his last five. Take the Yankees to win here.