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Ravens vs Saints Prediction 9/20/26 NFL Picks Today

New Orleans Saints (0-1) vs. Baltimore Ravens (1-0)
September 20, 2026 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Ravens -8.5; Over/Under: 47.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New Orleans Saints and the Baltimore Ravens meet Sunday in NFL action from M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. Here’s a Ravens vs Saints prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Ravens vs Saints pick.

New Orleans Saints Betting Preview

Last season, the Saints had a pretty rough time. New Orleans started at just 2-10 (for the first time since 1999), then won four of five games. Eventually the Saints would go 6-11 overall, missing the playoffs for the fifth straight year. New Orleans finished in the basement the NFC South, capping off their season with a tough 19-17 loss versus the Atlanta Falcons.

In their opener versus the Detroit Lions, the Saints had a pretty uneventful first half, entering the locker room with a 7-0 deficit. New Orleans scored 24 points in the second half though and forced overtime during an eventual loss 31-30. Tyler Shough was 35-of-56 for 410 yards, three scores and two picks. Travis Etienne led the rush on nine carries for 46 yards in the defeat.

Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview

Over on the Ravens’ side, they started out the 2025 campaign on a skid, going just 1-5 in their first half-dozen games. Baltimore got it going from there though, winning five straight outings for a brief first-place spot in the division. The Ravens won just two of their final six games though, finishing 8-9 overall for a second-place AFC North position and missing the playoffs.

Matched up against the Colts in their opener this year, the Ravens got off to a nice start with 31 points in the first half. Baltimore finished off with 10 more in the fourth quarter and won the game 41-23 on the road. Lamar Jackson was 17-of-25 for 325 yards and a touchdown, but Derrick Henry led the charge on 24 carries for 144 yards and three scores.

Why the Baltimore Ravens will win

  • The Ravens have won each of their last 10 games against NFC opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Saints have lost each of their last seven games in September.
  • The Saints have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine Week 2 games.
  • The Ravens have covered the spread in six of their last seven games as favorites without Mark Andrews.
  • The Ravens have won the first quarter in each of their last nine home openers as favorites.
  • The Ravens have scored the first touchdown in eight of their last nine games as home favorites against NFC opponents.
  • The Ravens have won the first half in each of their last nine home openers as favorites.

Why the New Orleans Saints will win

  • The Saints have won each of their last six games after coming off overtime.
  • The Ravens have lost each of their last three games as home favorites.
  • The Saints have covered the spread in each of their last 17 games played as underdogs on the East Coast.
  • The Ravens have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games without Nnamdi Madubuike.
  • The Ravens have lost the first half in each of their last three games as heavy favorites (>-7.0 points).
  • The Ravens have lost the first quarter in each of their last two games as favorites against NFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Ravens’ last six home games without Rashod Bateman have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Eight of the Saints’ last nine games as underdogs without Julian Blackmon have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Three of the last four Sunday games at M&T Bank Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts

  • Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in 11 of his last 12 home appearances against teams that held a losing record.
  • Derrick Henry has recorded 88+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Ravens’ last nine games.
  • Derrick Henry has scored two or more touchdowns in three of the Ravens’ last four games.
  • Lamar Jackson has recorded 225+ passing yards in each of the Ravens’ last five Week 2 games.
  • Derrick Henry has recorded 94+ rushing yards in each of the Ravens’ last six games.
  • Mark Andrews has recorded 34+ receiving yards in each of his last 12 appearances with the Ravens as home favorites against NFC opponents.
  • Lamar Jackson has recorded 20+ completions in each of his last eight home appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Heading into Week 2, Derrick Henry ranks T1st in the NFL in touchdowns (3) this season.

New Orleans Saints Player Prop Facts

  • Travis Etienne has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC opponents.
  • Travis Etienne has recorded 77+ rushing and receiving yards in four of his last five appearances with his team as a road underdog.
  • Tyler Shough has recorded 259+ passing yards in each of the Saints’ last five games.
  • Alvin Kamara has recorded 70+ rushing yards in each of his last four September appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Chris Olave has recorded 85+ receiving yards in each of his last four appearances.
  • Tyler Shough has recorded 22+ completions in seven of the Saints’ last eight games.
  • Heading into Week 2, Tyler Shough ranks 1st in the NFL in passing yards (410) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Heading into Week 2, the Ravens are the only team in the NFL to rank top 5 in both passing yards and rushing yards per game this season.
  • Heading into Week 2, the Ravens rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage against (0.0%) this season.
  • Heading into Week 2, the Saints rank 1st in the NFL in passing yards per game (378.0) this season.
  • Heading into Week 2, the Saints rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage (100.0%) this season.

Ravens vs Saints Prediction

I’ll stick with Baltimore. The Ravens opened up the season with a nice road win over the Colts, posting 506 total yards (202 rushing), 7.9 yards per play and 23 first downs. The defense held Indy to just 251 total yards (149 passing) and 3-of-10 on third downs alongside a pair of takeaways. The 10 penalties for 86 yards and the 3-of-9 result on third-down tries were just about the only things to complain about.

As for New Orleans, they really got going in the second half and almost pulled off a nice win over the Lions. The Saints ended up with 469 yards (378 passing) and 29 first downs but did turn the ball over three times. New Orleans’ defense gave up 369 yards with 26 first downs while holding Detroit to 5-of-13 on third downs. I like the Saints to put up a decent fight here as well but I don’t think they’ll quite cover.

Andrew's Free Pick: Baltimore Ravens -8.5

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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