Cubs vs Braves Prediction 9/15/26 MLB Picks Today
Atlanta Braves (88-63) vs. Chicago Cubs (84-67)
September 15, 2026 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago Cubs -143 / Atlanta Braves 119; Over/Under: 8.5
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In this article we will formulate a Cubs vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 15th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 84-67 this year after they won game one by a score of 7-3 last night. Chicago scored seven runs in the first six innings and cruised to the win. The Cubs recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Crow-Armstrong, who went 4-5 with one home run and four RBIs. Peterson allowed three hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Assad allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Chicago won two out of three against the Pirates, but lost all three against the Brewers before that.
This season, Chicago has a 4.18 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while they have scored 806 runs with a .251 batting average and a .340 on base percentage. Pete Crow-Armstrong has led the Cubs with 42 home runs and 102 RBIs, while Dansby Swanson has added 18 home runs and 66 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Kevin Gausman, who is 9-12 with a 4.60 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 166.1 innings pitched this year.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 88-63 this season after they lost game one by a score of 3-7 on Monday. Atlanta cut the deficit to 7-3 in the seventh inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Braves recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Yastrzemski, who went 1-1 with one home run and two RBIs. Lopez allowed six hits and five earned runs over 3.0 innings for the loss, while Smith-Shawver allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Atlanta won two out of three against the Phillies, but lost two out of three against the Rays before that.
This season, Atlanta has a 3.62 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while they have scored 696 runs with a .247 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 39 home runs and 85 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 23 home runs and 75 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Martin Perez, who is 8-9 with a 3.08 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 131.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Cubs have won each of their last nine night games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Braves have lost each of their last four night games following a loss.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six night games.
- The Cubs have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight home games.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Cubs have lost four of their last five games as home favorites following a win.
- The Braves have won seven of their last eight night games against the Cubs following a road loss.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 games as home favorites following a win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Cubs following a road loss.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the last nine games between the Braves and Cubs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Braves’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 14 of the Cubs’ last 15 games against NL East opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Braves’ last eight games at Wrigley Field.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in three of the Cubs’ last four home games against NL East opponents.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in each of his last three home appearances against NL opponents.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances against NL opponents.
- Ian Happ has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 15 home games against NL East opponents.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (42) this season.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Ozzie Albies has hit a home run in two of the Braves’ last three road games against the Cubs.
- Martin Perez has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Martin Perez has recorded four or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL Central opponents.
- Drake Baldwin has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 19 night games.
- Matt Olson ranks 4th in the league in Home Runs (39) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (806).
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (208).
- The Braves rank 29th in the league for triples this season (11).
- The Braves rank 28th in the league for walks this season (436).
Cubs vs Braves Prediction
Chicago comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they have scored 6+ runs in three of their last five. The Cubs are 44-32 at home this year, while the Braves are 37-36 on the road. Atlanta has dropped two in a row and they have allowed 16 runs in those two losses. The Braves are starting Perez, who has allowed 0, 4, 1, 1, and 4 earned runs in his last five starts, while the Cubs are starting Gausman, who has allowed 5+ earned runs in two of his last three outings. Take the Braves here.