Michigan vs UTEP Prediction Football Picks Today 9/19/26
UTEP Miners (1-1) vs. Michigan Wolverines (2-0)
September 19, 2026 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Michigan Wolverines 35 / UTEP Miners 35; Over/Under: 48.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The UTEP Miners and Michigan Wolverines meet Saturday in week 3 college football action at Michigan Stadium. Here’s a Michigan vs. UTEP Prediction. This article will include a Michigan vs. UTEP Pick.
UTEP Miners Betting Preview
The UTEP Miners lost to Oklahoma, beat Texas Southern, and they play Oregon State next. The UTEP Miners have lost 10 of their last 12 games. EJ Colson Jr. is completing 60.6 percent of his passes for 291 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kam Thomas and Carver Cheeks have combined for 144 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Cash Cheeks has 3 receptions.
The UTEP Miners’ ground game is averaging 182 yards per contest, and Raymond Moore III leads the way with 142 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, UTEP is allowing 30.5 points and 306 yards per game. Kaden Smith leads the UTEP Miners with 18 tackles, Derek Burns has 1 sack, and Esteban Guillory has 1 interception.
Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview
The Michigan Wolverines beat Western Michigan and Oklahoma, and they play Iowa next. Michigan has won 10 of its last 13 games. Bryce Underwood is completing 53.8 percent of his passes for 281 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. JJ Buchanan and Savion Hiter have combined for 214 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Andrew Marsh has 5 receptions.
The Michigan Wolverines ground game is averaging 129 yards per contest, and Bryce Underwood leads the way with 134 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan is allowing 11 points and 255 yards per game. Troy Bowles leads the Michigan Wolverines with 21 tackles, Dom Nichols has 2 sacks, and Jyaire Hill has 1 interception.
Why the Michigan Wolverines will win
- Michigan has won each of its last 33 September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- UTEP has lost each of its last nine road games in September.
- UTEP has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 10 road games against non-conference opponents.
- The home team has covered the spread in four of UTEP’s last five games.
- Michigan has won the first quarter in 16 of its last 17 games against non-conference opponents at Michigan Stadium.
- Michigan has won the first half in each of its last 25 games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team at Michigan Stadium.
Why the UTEP Miners will win
- Michigan has lost each of its last three games against teams from Texas.
- Michigan has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games as an AP-ranked team.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Michigan’s last six home games has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of UTEP’s last eight games have gone OVER the total points line.
Michigan Wolverines Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 3, Savion Hiter ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.
UTEP Miners Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 3, Tavorus Jones ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Two of Michigan’s two games this season have been decided by a margin of seven points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
- One of Michigan’s two games this season has been decided by a margin of three points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
- UTEP ranks 136th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (14.0).
- UTEP ranks T134th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (-10.5).
Michigan vs UTEP Prediction
This is a lot of points in a sandwich spot for Michigan, but I’m going to lay it anyway. Michigan is fresh off a big upset over Oklahoma and has Iowa on deck. However, we saw this same UTEP team play Oklahoma opening week and lost 0-51. UTEP has had issues stepping up in competition, and that opening game doesn’t inspire confidence. Michigan is the more talented team across the board and should be able to flex its muscle. I don’t know how UTEP is going to move the ball against this Michigan defense. Thick number, but I’ll lay it anyway.