Texas Rangers vs NY Mets Prediction 9/23/26 MLB Picks Today

The New York Mets and the Texas Rangers meet Wednesday in MLB action from Globe Life Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will send out Nolan McLean for the start and McLean is 11-10 with a 3.18 ERA and 189 strikeouts this season. The Texas Rangers did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to add on to their 6-3 win over Texas last time out to sit at 72-85 this season. After this series, the Mets will head on the road for a series against the Washington Nationals.

Mets Win 3 Of Last 4

Entering Tuesday, Bo Bichette leads the Mets with a team-high 161 hits and 76 RBIs while adding 24 doubles, 2 triples, and 17 home runs so far this season. Carson Benge has added 157 hits with 19 doubles, 3 triples, 19 home runs, and 61 RBIs, while Juan Soto leads New York with a team-high 26 home runs alongside 103 hits, 11 doubles, 2 triples, and 65 RBIs on the year. Marcus Semien has contributed 104 hits with 14 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs, and 48 RBIs, while Brett Baty has logged 95 hits with 21 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs, and 52 RBIs. Francisco Alvarez has also chipped in 83 hits with 12 doubles, 16 home runs, and 40 RBIs for New York up to this point in the season.

Texas Rangers Recap

The Texas Rangers will be out to bounce back from their loss to the Mets on Tuesday to slip to 78-79 this season. After this series, the Rangers will head on the road for a series against the Minnesota Twins.

Rangers Lose Back-To-Back Games

Going into Tuesday, Brandon Nimmo leads the Rangers with a team-high 148 hits while adding 34 doubles, 4 triples, 14 home runs, and 61 RBIs so far this season. Ezequiel Duran has added 137 hits with 27 doubles, 4 triples, 17 home runs, and 83 RBIs, while Jake Burger leads Texas with a team-high 27 home runs and 88 RBIs alongside 124 hits and 23 doubles on the year. Josh Jung has contributed 114 hits with 25 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs, and 39 RBIs, while Joc Pederson has added 88 hits, 12 doubles, 2 triples, 26 home runs, and 53 RBIs. Corey Seager has logged 83 hits with 16 doubles, 18 home runs, and 47 RBIs, and Evan Carter has chipped in 74 hits with 13 doubles, 3 triples, 9 home runs, and 38 RBIs for Texas up to this point in the season.

New York Mets @ Texas Rangers Betting Trends: September 23, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Cody Bradford      Record this season: 0-5      ERA: 4.19
• Home Record: 0-2
• Last 5 against Mets: –

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last seven road games against AL West opponents following a win.
• The Rangers have won seven of their last eight games against NL opponents following a home loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 games against AL West opponents following a road win.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in six of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
• The Mets have lost the first inning in six of their last seven road games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rangers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Nolan McLean      Record this season: 11-10      ERA: 3.18
• Road Record: 6-3
• Last 5 against Rangers: 0-0

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last five games as road underdogs against the Rangers.
• The Rangers have lost each of their last six Wednesday night games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs against the Rangers.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against the Mets following a loss.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in five of their last six road games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in five of their last six road games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last six night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Rangers’ last 10 games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Rangers’ last nine night games against NL East opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Mets’ last four night games against AL West opponents.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Cody Bradford has recorded three or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 appearances with the Rangers as home favorites.
• Josh Jung has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Joc Pederson has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Mets.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four road games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Nolan McLean has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Nolan McLean has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rangers rank 25th in the league for runs scored this season (656).
• The Rangers rank 25th in the league for RBIs this season (632).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (203).
• The Mets rank 27th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.310).

New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers Prediction

I’m on the Rangers here. I know McLean is arguably the Mets’ ace, but the Rangers are still the only team fighting for something here and have been playing some of their best baseball with their backs against the wall over the last couple of months. I think Texas gets some quick revenge and bounces back in this one so give me Texas here.