Appalachian State Mountaineers (3-0) vs. NC State Wolfpack (1-2)
September 26, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: NC State Wolfpack -14.5 / Appalachian State Mountaineers 14.5; Over/Under: 55.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Appalachian State Mountaineers and NC State Wolfpack meet Saturday in week 4 college football action at Carter-Finley Stadium. Here’s an NC State vs. Appalachian State Prediction. This article will include an NC State vs. Appalachian State Pick.
Appalachian State Mountaineers Betting Preview
The Appalachian State Mountaineers beat Charlotte and East Carolina, and they play Old Dominion next. Appalachian State looks for its first 4-0 start since the 2019 season. Malachi Singleton is completing 74.5 percent of his passes for 889 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Sam Pickett III and Darrin Fugitt have combined for 358 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Chris Lofton has 9 receptions.
The Appalachian State Mountaineers’ ground game is averaging 259 yards per contest, and Jaquari Lewis leads the way with 188 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Appalachian State is allowing 24 points and 457 yards per game. Colton Phares leads the Appalachian State Mountaineers with 16 tackles, Caleb Sandstrom has 4 sacks, and Dre Walker has 2 interceptions.
NC State Wolfpack Betting Preview
The NC State Wolfpack lost to Vanderbilt, beat Richmond, and plays Louisville next. NC State has won 5 of its last 9 games. CJ Bailey is completing 64.9 percent of his passes for 640 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Keenan Jackson and Preston Douglas have combined for 352 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Joshisa Trader has 7 receptions.
The NC State Wolfpack ground game is averaging 223.3 yards per contest, and Jayden Scott leads the way with 198 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, NC State is allowing 23 points and 310.7 yards per game. Popo Aguirre leads the NC State Wolfpack with 27 tackles, Elijah Satchell has 1 sack, and Jackson Vick has 1 interception.
Why the NC State Wolfpack will win
- NC State has won 31 of its last 32 games against non-conference opponents at Carter-Finley Stadium.
- Appalachian State has lost each of its last four games against opponents from the Atlantic Coast Conference.
- NC State has covered the spread in each of its last five games at Carter-Finley Stadium.
- Appalachian State has failed to cover the spread in 13 of its last 17 September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Appalachian State has lost the first half in nine of its last 10 games as a road underdog.
- NC State has won the first quarter in each of its last six games at Carter-Finley Stadium.
Why the Appalachian State Mountaineers will win
- Appalachian State has won seven of its last eight games as an underdog in North Carolina.
- NC State has lost three of its last four games in September.
- Appalachian State has covered the spread in each of its last nine games as an underdog in North Carolina.
- NC State has failed to cover the spread in 12 of its last 15 games in September.
- Appalachian State has won the first half in each of its last four games against non-conference opponents.
- Appalachian State has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against non-conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of Appalachian State’s last nine games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of NC State’s last four games against teams from North Carolina have gone OVER the total points line.
NC State Wolfpack Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Davion Gause ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.
Appalachian State Mountaineers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Alex Sanchez ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- NC State ranks 129th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (85.7).
- NC State ranks T125th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (10.3).
- Two of Appalachian State’s three games this season have been decided by a margin of seven points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
- Appalachian State ranks T5th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (5).
NC State vs Appalachian State Prediction
NC State obviously has the talent edge, but I’m concerned about how this group is going to rebound from that Vanderbilt loss. It was inexcusable, and it wouldn’t be surprising if there’s a hangover from that game. Also, App State has a long history of being an overachiever and a team that can spring an upset or two a season. Heck, we saw App State leave East Carolina with a win as a 6.5-point underdog. Appalachian State isn’t a pushover, and we’re getting a hokok on top of a key number. Give me the points with the Mountaineers.
