Miami (OH) vs UConn Prediction Football Picks Today 9/26/26
UConn Huskies (2-1) vs. Miami (OH) Redhawks (1-2)
September 26, 2026 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami (OH) Redhawks -3.5 / UConn Huskies +3.5; Over/Under: 51.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The UConn Huskies and the Miami Ohio Redhawks meet in week 4 college football action from Yager Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UConn Huskies vs. Miami Ohio Redhawks Prediction.
UConn Huskies Recap
The UConn Huskies come into this game looking to add on to their 48-20 win over Southern Miss last time out to sit at 2-1 this season. After this game, UConn will head home for a game against Syracuse.
Huskies Looking To String Wins Together
Kaleb Osborne has thrown for 635 yards, 6 touchdowns and 1 interception on 65.3% passing while also leading UConn in rushing with 152 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns so far this season. Cam Edwards sits behind Osborne on the ground with 138 yards and 2 TDs. Skyler Porter leads the Huskies in receiving with 123 yards on 6 catches along with 2 touchdowns, while Javar Strong trails with 100 yards on 6 catches. On defense, Hayden Pegg has a team-high 21 total tackles, while Kaleb Brown, John Lole, Melvin Hills III, and Ares Luani each have 1 sack. UConn’s defense as a whole has combined for 4 sacks and 2 interceptions so far this season.
Miami Ohio Redhawks Recap
The Miami Ohio Redhawks come into this game looking to bounce back from a 35-31 loss at the hands of Cincinnati last time out to slip to 1-2 this season. After this game, Miami Ohio will take on Bowling Green at home.
Redhawks Looking To Get Back To .500
David McComb has thrown for 809 yards, 5 touchdowns and 1 interception on 62.2% passing while Lazaro Rogers leads Miami (OH) in rushing with 71 rushing yards and 1 touchdown so far this season. D’Shawn-Lee Jones III sits right behind Rogers on the ground with 67 yards and 1 TD. Maleek Huggins leads the RedHawks in receiving with 205 yards on 10 catches, while Damarion Witten trails closely with 184 yards on 6 catches along with 2 touchdowns. On defense, Malcolm McCain has a team-high 22 total tackles, while Grant Lyons and Tyler Dixon each lead the team with 2 sacks. Miami (OH)’s defense as a whole has combined for 5 sacks and 0 interceptions so far this season.
Connecticut Huskies @ Miami (OH) RedHawks Betting Trends: Week 4
Why the Miami (OH) RedHawks will win
- Connecticut has lost each of its last 24 September games as an underdog.
- The favorite has won each of Miami (OH)’s last 20 games at Fred C. Yager Stadium.
- Miami (OH) has covered the spread in each of its last nine games as a favorite.
- Connecticut has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four road games against opponents from the Mid-American Conference.
- Miami (OH) has won the first quarter in eight of its last nine games at Fred C. Yager Stadium.
- Connecticut has lost the first half in 13 of its last 14 September games as a road underdog.
Why the Connecticut Huskies will win
- Miami (OH) has lost four of its last five games.
- Connecticut has won four of its last five games in September.
- Miami (OH) has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 12 games against non-conference opponents at Fred C. Yager Stadium.
- Connecticut has won the first half in seven of its last nine games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Miami (OH)’s last five games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of Connecticut’s last six September games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Miami (OH) RedHawks Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Damarion Witten ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (30.7) this season.
Connecticut Huskies Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Kalieb Osborne ranks T13th amongst FBS players for rushing touchdowns (4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Miami (OH) ranks 138th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (2.0).
- Miami (OH) ranks T1st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (100.0).
- Connecticut ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
- Connecticut ranks T7th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (14.0).
UConn Huskies vs. Miami Ohio Redhawks Prediction
I’m on UConn and the points here. I think the wrong team is favored as this feels like a prime letdown spot for Miami Ohio following the loss to Cincinnati in a heartbreaker last week after coming so close to the outright upset in a game Miami Ohio had. UConn’s looked solid to this point and I think they’re live to win this game outright. I’ll back UConn in this one.