Nationals vs Mets Prediction 9/26/26 MLB Picks Today

The New York Mets and Washington Nationals meet Saturday in MLB action at Nationals Park. Here’s a Nationals vs. Mets Prediction. This article will include a Nationals vs. Mets Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 73-87 on the year. The New York Mets are batting .238 on the season, have a .309 OBP, and have a .393 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 162 hits and 76 RBI, while Carson Benge and A.J. Ewing have combined for 269 hits and 103 RBI.

Jonah Tong gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 2-2 with a 4.21 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. This will be Tong’s first career game against the Washington Nationals.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 76-84 on the year. The Washington Nationals are batting .246 on the season, with a .321 OBP and a .423 slugging percentage. The Washington Nationals’ pitching staff has a 4.65 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. CJ Abrams leads the Washington Nationals with 149 hits and 103 RBI, while James Wood and Daylen Lile have combined for 278 hits and 165 RBI.

Connelly Early gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 7-5 with a 3.44 ERA and 93 strikeouts this season. This will be Early’s first career game against the New York Mets.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last eight Saturday road games against NL opponents.
• The Nationals have won each of their last five home games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Saturday road games against NL opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Mets’ last four games at Nationals Park.
• The Nationals have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games at Nationals Park against NL opponents.
• The Nationals have won the first inning in four of their last five games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games at Nationals Park against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last seven day games following a road loss.
• The Nationals have lost eight of their last nine day games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six road games following a loss.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against the Nationals at Nationals Park.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Mets’ last eight games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the last six games between the Mets and Nationals at Nationals Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last six games against NL opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in five of the Mets’ last six day games.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• James Wood has hit a home run in each of his last four Saturday day appearances against NL teams that held a losing record.
• James Wood has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 Saturday day appearances.
• Connelly Early has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Connelly Early has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog.
• James Wood ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.389) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Bo Bichette has hit at least one home run in three of the Mets’ last four games at Nationals Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jonah Tong has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 26 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Jonah Tong has recorded a win in three of his four previous appearances with the Mets as favorites against NL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for steals this season (179).
• The Nationals rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (814).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (207).
• The Mets rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.309).

Nationals vs Mets Prediction

We were on the Nationals yesterday, and we’ve been on them a lot over the last couple of weeks. The Nationals are one of the losing teams that’s still playing hard and showing up while others have their bags packed and are eyeing vacation. Early has also been respectable this season with a 3.44 ERA and 1.25 WHIP through 91.2 innings. Why the Mets are favored still makes no sense to me. I’ll gladly grab the more favorable price with the Nats at home.