Texas A&M vs Arkansas Prediction Football Picks Today 10/3/26
Arkansas Razorbacks (2-2) vs. Texas A&M Aggies (2-2)
October 3, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Texas A&M Aggies -14.5 / Arkansas Razorbacks +14.5; Over/Under: 50.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Arkansas Razorbacks and the Texas A&M Aggies meet in week 5 college football action from Kyle Field on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas A&M Aggies Prediction.
Arkansas Razorbacks Recap
The Arkansas Razorbacks come into this game looking to add on to their 34-6 win over Tulsa last time out to improve to 2-2 this season. After this game, Arkansas will take on Tennessee at home.
Razorbacks Snap Two-Game Slide
KJ Jackson has thrown for 927 yards, 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 62.1% passing while Braylen Russell leads Arkansas in rushing with 96 yards and 1 touchdown so far this season. Sutton Smith sits behind Russell on the ground with 80 yards and 1 TD. Chris Marshall leads Arkansas in receiving with 473 yards and 25 catches along with 1 TD, while Ismael Cisse trails with 90 yards and 7 catches. On defense, Christian Harrison has a team-high 23 tackles while Arkansas’s defense as a whole has combined for 8 sacks and 1 interception so far this season.
Texas A&M Aggies Recap
The Texas A&M Aggies come into this game looking to rebound from a 35-6 loss at the hands of LSU last time out to sit at 2-2 this season. After this game, the Aggies will head on the road for a game against Missouri.
Aggies Drop Back-To-Back Games
Marcel Reed has thrown for 738 yards, 6 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 58.4% passing while Rueben Owens II leads Texas A&M in rushing with 248 yards and 2 touchdowns so far this season. KJ Edwards sits behind Owens II on the ground with 115 yards and 0 TDs. Mario Craver leads Texas A&M in receiving with 225 yards and 22 catches along with 2 TDs, while Isaiah Horton trails with 213 yards and 15 catches. On defense, Taurean York has a team-high 23 tackles while Texas A&M’s defense as a whole has combined for 6 sacks and 2 interceptions so far this season.
Arkansas Razorbacks @ Texas A&M Aggies Betting Trends: Week 5
Why the Texas A&M Aggies will win
- Arkansas has lost each of its last 12 games against conference opponents.
- Texas A&M has won 19 of its last 20 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Kyle Field.
- Arkansas has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games as an underdog.
- Texas A&M has covered the spread in each of its last four home games in October.
- Texas A&M has won the first half in 19 of its last 21 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Kyle Field.
- The home team has won the first quarter in three of Arkansas’ last four games.
Why the Arkansas Razorbacks will win
- Texas A&M has lost each of its last three games against conference opponents.
- Arkansas has won each of its last three October road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Arkansas has covered the spread in each of its last six road games in October.
- Texas A&M has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games against conference opponents.
- Arkansas has won the first quarter in three of its last four October games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Arkansas has won the first half in 12 of its last 13 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Arkansas’ last four games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Twelve of Texas A&M’s last 14 home games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
Texas A&M Aggies Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Tyler White ranks 4th amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (50.0) this season.
Arkansas Razorbacks Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Chris Marshall ranks 6th amongst FBS players for receiving yards (473) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Texas A&M ranks T2nd among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (0.8).
- Texas A&M ranks 2nd among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+13.0).
- Arkansas ranks 136th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (89.5).
- Arkansas ranks 132nd among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (4.0).
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas A&M Aggies Prediction
I’m on the Razorbacks and the points in this one. I get the case to be made for A&M at home, as the Aggies have quite the home field edge going for them. However, I think Arkansas is waking up after their slow start and I think the Aggies are kind of overrated even at home. We’re bordering on must-win territory for the Hogs considering how this season has started and I think the Aggies win but I think Arkansas puts up a fight. Give me Arkansas and the points.