Canadiens vs Penguins Prediction 10/3/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Canadiens vs Penguins Prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, October 3^rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins Preview

The Penguins have 2 points this season with a 1-0-0 record, and are 1-0 ATS and 1-0 in over/under. They are coming off a 7-0 road win over the Flyers and will face the Jets and Capitals next.

Offensively, the Penguins are averaging 7 goals per game and are scoring 50% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing zero goals per game and are killing 100% of their opponent’s power plays.

Filip Hallander leads the Penguins with 3 points and a team-high 2 assists, while Nick Robertson leads the team in goals with 2. Arturs Silovs is the starting goalie for the Penguins, and he has a 1-0-0 record, with 0.00 GAA and 1.000 SV%.

Montreal Canadiens Preview

The Canadiens have 2 points this season with a 1-0-0 record, and are 0-1 ATS and 0-1 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-2 road win over the Maple Leafs and will face the Hurricanes and Predators next.

Offensively, the Canadiens are averaging 3 goals per game and are scoring 0% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2 goals per game and are killing 100% of their opponent’s power plays.

Josh Anderson leads the Canadiens with 2 points and a team-high one goal, adding a team-high one assist. Jakub Dobes is the starting goalie for the Canadiens, and he has a 1-0-0 record, with 2.01 GAA and .929 SV%.

Montreal Canadiens @ Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Trends: October 3, 2026

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The Canadiens have lost each of their last six games as an away favorite when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Penguins have won seven of their last nine games as underdogs against the Canadiens.
• The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in 21 of their last 22 games as road favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in 26 of the Canadiens’ last 30 games.
• The Canadiens have lost the second period in seven of their last eight games when leading after the first period.

Why the Montreal Canadiens will win

• The road team has won eight of the Canadiens’ last 10 games.
• The Penguins have lost four of their last five games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games as home underdogs.
• The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Penguins’ last four games.
• The Penguins have lost the second period in each of their last six home games against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Penguins’ last five games as underdogs following a road win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the Canadiens’ last five games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Seven of the last eight Saturday games at PPG Paints Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Canadiens’ last 13 games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in 17 of the Penguins’ last 18 games following a road win.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Rickard Rakell has scored at least one goal in each of the Penguins’ last five games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Penguins’ last nine games against the Canadiens at PPG Paints Arena.

Montreal Canadiens Player Prop Facts

• Chris Kreider has scored at least one goal in three of his last four appearances with his team as a road favorite against the Penguins.
• Alexandre Carrier has recorded an assist in five of the Canadiens’ last six road games.
• Cole Caufield ranked 1st in the league for Game Winning Goals (12) last season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pittsburgh Penguins ranked 3rd in the league for goals per game last season (3.54).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins ranked 6th in the league in penalty kill percentage last season (81.43%).
• The Montreal Canadiens ranked 7th in the league for goals per game last season (3.40).
• The Montreal Canadiens ranked T4th in the league in short handed goals allowed last season (4).

Canadiens vs Penguins Prediction

The Penguins are 7-2 in their last 9 meetings against the Canadiens and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Pittsburgh.

In this Canadiens vs Penguins Prediction, the Canadiens are coming as -125 road favorites. Both teams are coming off wins in their opening games of the season, but I cannot fade the Penguins at home after crushing the Flyers by 7-0 on Wednesday. They have also been dominating the Canadiens in recent years and have lost only one of their last five head-to-head meetings at home. I like the Penguins in this spot as home dogs, so take them on the moneyline for plus money in this one.