Valkyries vs Aces Prediction 10-4-26 WNBA Picks
Valkyries vs Aces
October 4, 2026 4:00 pm EDT
The Line: Valkyries +1.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Las Vegas Aces and Golden State Valkyries meet Sunday in the WNBA playoffs at the Chase Center. Here’s a Valkyries vs. Aces Prediction. This article will include a Valkyries vs. Aces Pick.
Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview
The Las Vegas Aces beat the Fever in 3 games and will play for the first time since Thursday. The Aces have split their last 6 road games.
The Las Vegas Aces are averaging 95 points on 49.2 percent shooting and allowing 89 points on 44.9 percent shooting. A’ja Wilson is averaging 32 points and 11.7 rebounds, while Jackie Young is averaging 23.3 points and 4.7 rebounds. Chelsea Gray is the third double-digit scorer, and Jewell Loyd is dishing out 1 assist. The Las Vegas Aces are shooting 38.8 percent from beyond the arc and 84.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Las Vegas Aces are allowing 34.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.7 rebounds per game.
Golden State Valkyries Betting Preview
The Golden State Valkyries beat the Wings in 3 games and will play for the first time since Friday. The Valkyries have won 12 of their last 14 home games.
The Golden State Valkyries are averaging 93.7 points on 43.3 percent shooting and allowing 87 points on 47 percent shooting. Gabby Williams is averaging 25 points and 4.3 rebounds, while Tiffany Hayes is averaging 15 points and 2.7 assists. Veronica Burton is the third double-digit scorer, and Cecilia Zandalasini is grabbing 0.3 rebounds. The Golden State Valkyries are shooting 42.4 percent from beyond the arc and 84.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Valkyries are allowing 39 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34 rebounds per game.
Why the Golden State Valkyries will win
- The Valkyries have won eight of their last nine games at Chase Center.
- The Aces have lost each of their last three road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Aces have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six day games.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of the Aces’ last three games.
Why the Las Vegas Aces will win
- The Aces have won nine of their last 10 games.
- The Valkyries have lost each of their last four games against Aces teams that held a winning record.
- The Aces have covered the spread in each of their last four games against Valkyries teams that held a winning record.
- The Valkyries have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against Aces teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Aces’ last eight road playoff games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of the Valkyries’ last seven home games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Golden State Valkyries Player Facts
- Janelle Salaün ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (3.8) this season.
- Gabby Williams ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.4) this season.
Las Vegas Aces Player Facts
- Jewell Loyd has hit 2+ three-pointers in five consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
- Chelsea Gray has recorded 44 games with 3+ assists this season – most of any player in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Golden State Valkyries rank 1st for opponent assists per game this season (18.2).
- The Golden State Valkyries rank 1st for opponent steals per game this season (5.7).
- The Las Vegas Aces are the only team to rank in the top three for both points and assists per game this season.
- The Las Vegas Aces have scored 80+ points in each of their last 14 games- the team’s longest streak since 2024.
Valkyries vs Aces Injury Report
The Valkyries don’t have any players listed on their injury report.
NaLyssa Smith is out for the Aces with a leg injury. Dana Evans is out with a knee injury. Stephanie Talbot is questionable with a leg issue.
Valkyries vs Aces Prediction
The Valkyries have been ridiculous at home, and getting a free bucket is intriguing. However, we’ve backed the Aces in their first playoff series and have to do the same here with the soft line. There’s just too much experience on this roster that makes them hard to bet against. The Valkyries just had a legendary comeback to beat the Wings and win their first playoff series in franchise history. It could be tough to regroup and come down from that high with the quick turnaround. I’m going to side with the Aces.