North Dakota State Bison (5-0) vs. UNLV Runnin Rebels (3-2)
October 10, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: UNLV Runnin Rebels 3.5 / North Dakota State Bison -3.5; Over/Under: 47.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The North Dakota State Bison and UNLV Rebels meet Saturday in week 6 college football action at Allegiant Stadium. Here’s a UNLV vs. North Dakota State Prediction. This article will include a UNLV vs. North Dakota State Pick.
North Dakota State Bison Betting Preview
The North Dakota State Bison beat Sacramento State and Wyoming, and they play Nevada next. The North Dakota State Bison have won 17 of their last 18 games. Nathan Hayes is completing 64.7 percent of his passes for 995 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Jackson Williams and Mekhi Collins have combined for 522 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Reis Kessel has 13 receptions.
The North Dakota State Bison’ ground game is averaging 171 yards per contest, and DJ Scott leads the way with 298 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, North Dakota State is allowing 9.8 points and 236.2 yards per game. Donovan Woolen leads the North Dakota State Bison with 35 tackles, Kelton McCaslin has 3 sacks, and Marion Moore has 2 interceptions.
UNLV Rebels Betting Preview
The UNLV Rebels beat Akron and Cal, and they play Air Force next. The UNLV Rebels have lost 4 of their last 7 games. Jackson Arnold is completing 59.4 percent of his passes for 1,063 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Taz Reddicks and Kayden McGee have combined for 460 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Taeshaun Lyons has 11 receptions.
The UNLV Rebels’ ground game is averaging 178.2 yards per contest, and Jai’Den Thomas leads the way with 383 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, UNLV is allowing 23.6 points and 384.2 yards per game. Cam Santee leads the UNLV Rebels with 37 tackles, Tre Fulton has 3.5 sacks, and Quandarius Keyes has 2 interceptions.
Why the UNLV Rebels will win
- UNLV has won five of its last six games against conference opponents.
- The underdog has covered the spread in six of UNLV’s last eight games at Allegiant Stadium.
- UNLV has won the first half in four of its last five games.
- UNLV has won the first quarter in three of its last four October games as a home underdog.
Why the North Dakota State Bison will win
- UNLV has lost each of its last 14 October games as an underdog.
- North Dakota State has won each of its last five games.
- UNLV has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven home games in October.
- The favorite has covered the spread in three of UNLV’s last four games.
- North Dakota State has won the first half in each of its last five games as a favorite.
- North Dakota State has won the first quarter in each of its last four games.
Total Points Facts
- Six of UNLV’s last seven games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of North Dakota State’s last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.
UNLV Rebels Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 6, Jackson Arnold is one of only six players in the FBS to record 1,000 passing yards and 250 rushing yards this season.
North Dakota State Bison Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 6, Drew Klein ranks T8th amongst FBS players for made field goals (9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- UNLV ranks T130th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (66.7).
- UNLV ranks T127th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (9.0).
- North Dakota State ranks T1st among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (9.8).
- North Dakota State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
UNLV vs North Dakota State Prediction
North Dakota State looks fantastic and has deserved the favorite tag. However, outside of a meeting against Air Force, North Dakota State hasn’t really been tested yet. UNLV was a playoff contender entering the season, so the talent is there. With comfortable wins over Akron and Cal, maybe UNLV has turned the corner and is becoming the team we expected to see from the start. This is a talented UNLV team, and we’re getting a hook on top of a key number. In Vegas, give me the points in a spot where the Rebels could win outright if they play to their potential.
