College Football

Wake Forest vs NC State Prediction Football Picks Today 10/10/26

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (4-1) vs. NC State Wolfpack (3-2)
October 10, 2026 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: NC State Wolfpack 145 / Wake Forest Demon Deacons -175; Over/Under: 59.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Wake Forest vs NC State Prediction for this College Football Week 6 matchup on Saturday, October 10th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

NC State Wolfpack Preview

NC State has a 3-2 record and a 1-1 record in the ACC. They are coming off a 31-28 home win against Louisville and will face Stanford and California next. Offensively, NC State averages 36.8 points per game, ranking 35th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 25.6 points per game, which is 89th. NC State averages 460 total yards per game (260.8 passing and 199.2 rushing), while allowing 359.2 total yards per game (143.4 rushing and 215.8 passing).

CJ Bailey leads NC State with 1,266 passing yards with 65.3% completed passes and 8 touchdowns. Jayden Scott leads the team in rushing yards with 358, while Keenan Jackson has a team-high 339 receiving yards and 22 receptions. Defensively, Raul Aguirre Jr. has a team-high 43 total tackles (16 of them solo), while Elijah Satchell leads the team with 2 sacks.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons Preview

Wake Forest has a 4-1 record and a 2-1 record in the ACC. They are coming off a 57-3 home win against Stanford and will face California and Virginia next. Offensively, Wake Forest averages 36.6 points per game, ranking 37th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 23 points per game, which is 63rd. Wake Forest averages 445 total yards per game (288 passing and 157 rushing), while allowing 346.8 total yards per game (111.4 rushing and 235.4 passing).

Gio Lopez leads Wake Forest with 1,377 passing yards with 64.9% completed passes and 10 touchdowns. Ty Clark leads the team in rushing yards with 258, while Carlos Hernandez has a team-high 603 receiving yards and 37 receptions. Defensively, Vincent Firenze has a team-high 38 total tackles (15 of them solo), while Langston Hardy leads the team with 3 sacks.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ NC State Wolfpack Betting Trends: Week 6

 

Why the NC State Wolfpack will win

  • NC State has won each of its last seven games at Carter-Finley Stadium.
  • The underdog has covered the spread in each of Wake Forest’s last four games at Carter-Finley Stadium.
  • NC State has won the first quarter in each of its last eight games at Carter-Finley Stadium.
  • NC State has won the first half in each of its last seven games at Carter-Finley Stadium.

Why the Wake Forest Demon Deacons will win

  • Wake Forest has won each of its last eight October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Wake Forest has covered the spread in seven of its last eight October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Wake Forest has won the first half in each of its last 10 games as a favorite.
  • Wake Forest has won the first quarter in each of its last six games as a favorite in North Carolina.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Wake Forest’s last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of NC State’s last five games against teams from North Carolina have gone OVER the total points line.

NC State Wolfpack Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 6, Will Wilson ranks T9th amongst FBS players for rushing touchdowns (6) this season.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 6, Carlos Hernandez ranks 5th amongst FBS players for receiving yards (603) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • NC State has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (2).
  • NC State has lost the fourth quarter in each of its last three games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.
  • Wake Forest ranks T8th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (16.7).
  • Wake Forest ranks 128th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (94.4).

Wake Forest vs NC State Prediction

In this Wake Forest vs NC State prediction, Wake Forest is coming as -3.5 road favorites. Wake Forest has lost only once this season and is 3-0 ATS in its last three, having a better defense than NC State and a +13.6 point differential, while having won both of its road games. On the flip side, NC State has back-to-back wins but have allowed 28+ points in each of their last three games and I don’t trust them against a Wake Forest offense that has scored 87 points in its last two games combined. Take Wake Forest and lay the short number on the road in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Wake Forest -3.5

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