College Football

Texas A&M vs Missouri Prediction Football Picks Today 10/10/26

Texas A&M Aggies (3-2) vs. Missouri Tigers (4-1)
October 10, 2026 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Missouri Tigers -175 / Texas A&M Aggies 145; Over/Under: 48.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Texas A&M vs Missouri Prediction for this College Football Week 6 matchup on Saturday, October 10th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Missouri Tigers Preview

Missouri has a 4-1 record and a 1-1 record in the SEC. They are coming off a 45-17 home win against Florida and will face Ole Miss and Arkansas next. Offensively, Missouri averages 37.6 points per game, ranking 25th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 20 points per game, which is 49th. Missouri averages 447 total yards per game (278.4 passing and 168.6 rushing), while allowing 319.8 total yards per game (88.6 rushing and 231.2 passing).

Austin Simmons leads Missouri with 1,287 passing yards with 67.9% completed passes and 13 touchdowns. Jamal Roberts leads the team in rushing yards with 606, while Cayden Lee has a team-high 522 receiving yards and 35 receptions. Defensively, Nicholas Rodriguez has a team-high 50 total tackles (15 of them solo), while Daeden Hopkins leads the team with 6 sacks.

Texas A&M Aggies Preview

Texas A&M has a 3-2 record and a 1-2 record in the SEC. They are coming off a 34-7 home win against Arkansas and will face The Citadel and Alabama next. Offensively, Texas A&M averages 31.8 points per game, ranking 65th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 18.6 points per game, which is 38th. Texas A&M averages 356.2 total yards per game (188.8 passing and 167.4 rushing), while allowing 312.8 total yards per game (121.0 rushing and 191.8 passing).

Marcel Reed leads Texas A&M with 908 passing yards with 57% completed passes and 6 touchdowns. Rueben Owens leads the team in rushing yards with 291, while Isaiah Horton has a team-high 248 receiving yards and 17 receptions. Defensively, Noah Mikhail has a team-high 26 total tackles (11 of them solo), while Marco Jones leads the team with 2 sacks.

Texas A&M Aggies @ Missouri Tigers Betting Trends: Week 6

 

Why the Missouri Tigers will win

  • Missouri has won each of its last 27 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Texas A&M has lost seven of its last eight October road games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Texas A&M has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games as an underdog.
  • Missouri has covered the spread in each of its last four October games as a favorite.
  • Texas A&M has lost the first half in seven of its last eight October road games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Missouri has won the first quarter in each of its last four October home games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why the Texas A&M Aggies will win

  • Texas A&M has won each of its last nine games in October.
  • Missouri has lost each of its last four October games as a top-15 AP-ranked team.
  • Missouri has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games against teams from Texas.
  • Texas A&M has covered the spread in each of its last four games against teams from Missouri.
  • Texas A&M has won the first half in 10 of its last 12 games in October.
  • Texas A&M has won the first quarter in each of its last four games against teams from Missouri.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Missouri’s last six October games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Eight of Texas A&M’s last nine October games against top-15 AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Missouri Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 6, Jamal Roberts ranks 2nd amongst FBS players for rushing attempts (113) this season.

Texas A&M Aggies Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 6, Tyler White ranks 9th amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (49.1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Missouri ranks 3rd among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (18.2).
  • Missouri ranks 6th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (+12.6).
  • Texas A&M ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (0.6).
  • Texas A&M ranks 3rd among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+11.0).

Texas A&M vs Missouri Prediction

In this Texas A&M vs Missouri prediction, Missouri is coming as -3.5 home favorites. Missouri has lost only once this season and has been undefeated at home, ranking on the top-50 of the country both offensively and defensively, with a +17.6 point differential. On the flip side, Texas A&M has lost two of its last three games, having conceded 66 points combined in the two losses and have lost their only road game this season. The value here lies with the home team, so take Missouri and lay the short number at home in this one.

 

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Missouri -3.5

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