Penguins vs Avalanche Prediction 10/16/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Penguins vs Avalanche Prediction for this NHL game on Friday, October 16^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Colorado Avalanche Preview

The Avalanche have 9 points this season with a 4-2-1 record and a 2-1-1 home record. They are 3-4 ATS and 4-3 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-3 shootout home loss against the Stars and will face the Flyers and Devils next.

Offensively, the Avalanche are averaging 4.43 goals per game and are scoring 20% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.00 goals per game and are killing 82.4% of their opponent’s power plays.

Nathan MacKinnon leads the Avalanche with 12 points, adding a team-high 5 goals and a team-high 7 assists. Mackenzie Blackwood is the starting goalie for the Avalanche, and he has a 3-2-0 record, with 3.04 GAA and .879 SV%. Scott Wedgewood is the backup goalie and he has a 1-0-1 record, with 2.40 GAA and .902 SV%.

Pittsburgh Penguins Preview

The Penguins have 7 points this season with a 3-3-1 record and a 1-2-1 away record. They are 2-5 ATS and 4-3 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-5 road loss against the Blackhawks and will face the Golden Knights and Mammoth next.

Offensively, the Penguins are averaging 3.43 goals per game and are scoring 16.7% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.00 goals per game and are killing 89.5% of their opponent’s power plays.

Erik Karlsson leads the Penguins with 7 points, adding a team-high 7 assists, while Nick Robertson leads the team in goals with 4. Arturs Silovs is the starting goalie for the Penguins, and he has a 3-1-0 record, with 2.72 GAA and .885 SV%. Sergei Murashov is the backup goalie and he has a 0-2-1 record, with 2.99 GAA and .911 SV%.

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Colorado Avalanche Betting Trends: October 16, 2026

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

• The home team has won each of the Penguins’ last four games.
• The Penguins have lost five of their last six games against Central Division opponents.
• The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven games against Central Division opponents.
• The Avalanche have covered the puck line in four of their last five games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Penguins have lost the third period in eight of their last nine games when trailing after the second period.

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Avalanche’s last five games.
• The Avalanche have lost four of their last five games as home favorites after coming off overtime.
• The Penguins have covered the puck line in 12 of their last 13 games as an underdog when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five home games after coming off overtime.
• The Penguins have won the third period in each of their last five road games when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Avalanche’s last six night games against Metropolitan Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Penguins’ last five road games against Central Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Avalanche’s last nine home games against the Penguins.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last five road games against Central Division opponents.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Nathan MacKinnon has scored a goal in four of the Avalanche’s last five games against the Penguins.
• Cale Makar has recorded an assist in each of the Avalanche’s last five games against the Penguins.
• Nathan MacKinnon ranks T1st in the league for multi-point games (5) this season.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Sidney Crosby has scored at least one goal in four of his last five road appearances against the Avalanche.
• Bryan Rust has recorded an assist in each of the Penguins’ last four games against the Avalanche.
• Rickard Rakell ranks T3rd in the league for shootout goals (1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Colorado Avalanche rank T1st in the league for goals per game this season (4.43).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (2.29).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 5th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (89.47%).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 32nd in the league in penalty minutes this season (44).

Penguins vs Avalanche Prediction

The Avalanche are 4-1 in their 5 meetings against the Penguins and have won two of their last three meetings in Colorado.

In this Penguins vs Avalanche Prediction, the Avalanche are coming as -210 home favorites. The Penguins have been struggling with a 1-4 record in their last 5 games while the Avalanche have covered the puckline only once in their last five games, so I will not pick a side in this one. Both teams have excellent offenses, scoring 7.86 goals per game combined and have shaky goaltending as both starters have sub-.900 SV%. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 head-to-head meetings, so take the over 6.5 in this one.