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Flames vs Oilers Prediction 10/28/26 NHL Picks Today

Calgary Flames (5-6) vs. Edmonton Oilers (8-2)
October 28, 2026 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Edmonton Oilers -218 / Calgary Flames 180; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Flames vs Oilers Prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, October 28th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Edmonton Oilers Preview

The Oilers have 18 points this season with a 8-2-2 record and a 3-2-2 home record. They are 7-5 ATS and 8-4 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-4 shootout home loss against the Red Wings and will face the Islanders and Rangers next.

Offensively, the Oilers are averaging 4.25 goals per game and are scoring 35% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.50 goals per game and are killing 70.6% of their opponent’s power plays.

Connor McDavid leads the Oilers with 34 points, adding a team-high 26 assists, while Leon Draisaitl leads the team in goals with 12. Devon Levi is the starting goalie for the Oilers, and he has a 6-1-0 record, with 3.11 GAA and .887 SV%. Tristan Jarry is the backup goalie and he has a 2-1-2 record, with 3.53 GAA and .869 SV%.

Calgary Flames Preview

The Flames have 10 points this season with a 5-6-0 record and a 1-3-0 road record. They are 5-6 ATS and 5-6 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-2 home win against the Maple Leafs and will face the Kraken and Avalanche next.

Offensively, the Flames are averaging 2.55 goals per game and are scoring 30% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.73 goals per game and are killing 85.7% of their opponent’s power plays.

Joel Farabee leads the Flames with 11 points, adding a team-high 8 assists, while Matvei Gridin leads the team in goals with 4. Devin Cooley is the starting goalie for the Flames, and he has a 4-2-0 record, with 2.67 GAA and .914 SV%. Dustin Wolf is the backup goalie and he has a 1-4-0 record, with 4.85 GAA and .834 SV%.

Calgary Flames @ Edmonton Oilers Betting Trends: October 28, 2026

 

Why the Edmonton Oilers will win

  • The Flames have lost each of their last six road games following a win.
  • The Oilers have won seven of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Oilers have covered the puck line in each of their last six games against Western Conference opponents after coming off overtime.
  • The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six road games.
  • The Flames have lost the second period in seven of their last eight games at Rogers Place when leading after the first period.

Why the Calgary Flames will win

  • The Flames have won each of their last four games as underdogs.
  • The Oilers have lost five of their last seven games as home favorites after coming off a shootout.
  • The road team has covered the puck line in eight of the Oilers’ last nine games.
  • The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven Wednesday games as home favorites.
  • The Oilers have lost the second period in each of their last four home games when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Ten of the Oilers’ last 11 home games after coming off a shootout have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the last six Wednesday games at Rogers Place have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Five of the Flames’ last six games against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Flames’ last six games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Oilers’ last 13 Wednesday at Rogers Place.

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

  • Vasily Podkolzin has scored at least one goal in seven of the Oilers’ last eight games against Pacific Division opponents.
  • Evan Bouchard has recorded at least one assist in each of the Oilers’ last six games against Western Conference opponents.
  • Connor McDavid ranks 1st in the league for Points (34) this season.

Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

  • Joel Farabee has scored a goal in each of the Flames’ last three games.
  • Matthew Coronato has recorded at least one assist in each of the Flames’ last four games.
  • Joel Farabee has scored a goal in each of his last three appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Edmonton Oilers rank 1st in the league for goals per game this season (4.25).
  • The Edmonton Oilers rank 1st in the league in power play percentage this season (35.00%).
  • The Calgary Flames rank 31st in the league for goals against per game this season (3.73).
  • The Calgary Flames rank 4th in the league in power play percentage this season (30.00%).

Flames vs Oilers Prediction

The Flames are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Oilers and have won three of their last five visits in Edmonton.

In this Flames vs Oilers Prediction, the Oilers are coming as -210 home favorites. The Oilers have more points this season and are rightfully favored at home, but they have back-to-back losses with a combined 5-11 score and will be facing a red-hot Flames team that is 5-1 in its last 6 games and has been playing elite defense in that span, having allowed just 6 goals in their last four games. The Flames have sneakily the 4th-best power play in hockey and a better penalty kill and I expect them at least to keep this one close. Take the Flames by +1.5.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Calgary Flames +1.5

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