Capitals vs Flyers Prediction 10/28/26 NHL Picks Today
Philadelphia Flyers (3-7) vs. Washington Capitals (6-4)
October 28, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Capitals -230 / Philadelphia Flyers 190; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Capitals vs Flyers prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, October 28th at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Washington Capitals Betting Preview
The Washington Capitals are 6-4-0 this year after they defeated the Sabres in overtime by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Washington blew a 3-2 lead in the third period, but they rallied for the win in OT. The Capitals out shot Buffalo by a total of 34-21, won 43.4% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Washington was led by Dylan Strome, who had two goals and one assist, while Charlie Lindgren stopped 18 out of 21 shots in the win.
Prior to that game, Washington lost to the Kings by a score of 5-2, but did defeat the Devils by a score of 4-2 before that. The Capitals have scored 3.40 goals per game and they have allowed 3.20 goals against per game, while also going 17.9% on the power play and 81.3% on the penalty kill this season. Dylan Strome has led the team with three goals and six assists, while Logan Thompson is 4-3-0 with a 2.90 goals against average and a .901 save percentage this year.
Philadelphia Flyers Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Flyers are 3-7-4 this season after they lost to the Blue Jackets in overtime by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Philadelphia trailed 3-0 after the first period, but they were able to tie the game with 11 seconds left in the third, before losing in OT. The Flyers out shot Columbus by a total of 31-15, won 44.0% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Philadelphia was led by Trevor Zegras, who had one goal and one assist, while Dan Vladar stopped 11 out of 15 shots in the loss.
Prior to that game, Philadelphia lost to the Ducks by a score of 5-4, but did defeat the Sabres by a score of 3-1 before that. The Flyers have scored 1.93 goals per game and they have allowed 3.21 goals against per game, while also going 15.6% on the power play and 83.0% on the penalty kill this season. Trevor Zegras has led the team with four goals and eight assists, while Joseph Woll is 1-4-2 with a 2.99 goals against average and a .904 save percentage this season.
Why the Washington Capitals will win
- The Capitals have won each of their last 10 home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The Flyers have lost each of their last nine games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The Capitals have covered the puck line in nine of their last 10 home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games at Capital One Arena.
- The Capitals have won the third period in 10 of their last 11 home games following an overtime win.
Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win
- The underdogs have won four of the Flyers’ last five games.
- The Capitals have lost two of their last three games as home favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
- The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Flyers’ last seven games.
- The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five night games.
- The Capitals have lost the third period in each of their last six games when trailing after the second period.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Flyers’ last six road games against Metropolitan Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Seven of the Capitals’ last eight night games at Capital One Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Three of the last four games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the last eight games between the Flyers and Capitals.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Flyers’ last three games.
Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts
- Alex Ovechkin has scored at least one goal in seven of the Capitals’ last eight home games against the Flyers.
- Alex Tuch has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite against the Flyers.
- Alex Tuch ranks 1st in the league for Game Winning Goals (4) this season.
Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts
- Trevor Zegras has scored a goal in each of the Flyers’ last three games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- Travis Sanheim has recorded an assist in each of the Flyers’ last four games against the Capitals.
- Matvei Michkov has recorded a career faceoff win percentage of 60.0% against the Capitals (min. 5 faceoffs) – equal-most against any opponent (including playoffs).
Matchup/League Facts
- The Washington Capitals rank T1st in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (0).
- The Washington Capitals rank 1st in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (1.40).
- The Philadelphia Flyers rank 32nd in the league for goals per game this season (1.93).
- The Philadelphia Flyers rank 25th in the league in power play percentage this season (15.56%).
Capitals vs Flyers Prediction
Washington comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they are fully rested. The Capitals are 5-2-0 at home this year, while the Flyers are 1-4-1 on the road. Philadelphia has dropped two in a row and they are on a back to back after last night’s crazy loss. The Flyers are playing better than they did to start the season and they have covered +1.5 in each of their last five. Take Philly +1.5 here.