Florida Atlantic Owls (5-2) vs. North Texas Mean Green (5-2)
October 29, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: North Texas Mean Green -13.5 / FAU Owls +13.5; Over/Under: 76.5
(Get latest betting odds)
North Texas vs FAU Prediction
I’m looking at the over in this one. I get the case to be made for either side, and while I do lean towards North Texas to snag the win at home in this one as well as the cover, I think the over is the better play here.
The blowouts as of late for North Texas have come against the likes of Charlotte and Houston Christian, and FAU’s offense is better than both. The Owls don’t play any defense whatsoever, though, so that’s why I’m looking at the over as my main play for this game.
FAU Owls Recap
The FAU Owls come into this game looking to add on to their 51-49 win over Rice last time out to sit at 5-2 this season. After this game, the Owls will head home for a game against UTSA.
Owls Win 5 Of Last 6
Caden Veltkamp has thrown for 2,084 yards, 18 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 73.1% passing while Ethan Ervin leads Florida Atlantic in rushing with 368 yards and 2 touchdowns. Leonard Farrow sits behind Ervin on the ground with 306 yards and 2 touchdowns. Easton Messer leads the Owls in receiving with 709 yards and 58 catches along with 6 touchdowns, while Kelby Valsin trails with 679 yards and 54 catches along with 6 touchdowns. On defense, Joseph Sipp Jr. has a team-high 49 tackles, while Florida Atlantic’s defense as a whole has combined for 8 sacks and 6 interceptions.
Why the Florida Atlantic Owls will win
- Florida Atlantic has won five of its last six games.
- Florida Atlantic has covered the spread in four of its last five games against North Texas.
- North Texas has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games against teams from Florida.
- North Texas has lost the first half in each of its last six Thursday games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Florida Atlantic has won the first quarter in four of its last six games as an underdog against teams from Texas.
North Texas Mean Green Recap
The North Texas Mean Green come into this game looking to add on to their 49-39 win over Navy last time out to sit at 5-2 this season. After this game, North Texas will head home for a game against Rice.
Mean Green Win 4 In A Row
Tayven Jackson has thrown for 2,173 yards, 18 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 72.4% passing while Jahiem White leads North Texas in rushing with 861 yards and 11 touchdowns. Brendon Haygood sits behind White on the ground with 164 yards and 2 touchdowns. Justin Stevenson leads the Mean Green in receiving with 662 yards and 41 catches along with 7 touchdowns, while Corri Milliner trails with 325 yards and 20 catches along with a touchdown. On defense, Zakye Barker has a team-high 57 tackles while North Texas’s defense as a whole has combined for 15 sacks and 5 interceptions.
Why the North Texas Mean Green will win
- North Texas has won each of its last nine home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Florida Atlantic has lost each of its last four road games against conference opponents.
- North Texas has covered the spread in each of its last nine home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Florida Atlantic has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games in Texas.
- North Texas has won the first half in each of its last 10 home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- North Texas has won the first quarter in each of its last seven home games.
