Lightning vs Jets Prediction 10/29/26 NHL Picks Today
Winnipeg Jets (4-5) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (7-3)
October 29, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Lightning -245 / Winnipeg Jets 200; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)
Lightning vs Jets Prediction
The Lightning and the PL has to be the play on Thursday night. The Lightning are undefeated at home and have a long history of beating up on the teams they should. The Jets are in a free fall as they haven’t won a game in 16 days and can’t find consistent offense. The Jets have scored two or fewer goals in five straight games and have dropped to 30th in goals scored and 21st in power play percentage.
Now, the Jets have won seven of the last 10 games against the Lightning, so I guess you could talk yourself into the big plus money, but I’m not buying it. The Jets are in terrible form, and I want nothing to do with them. Give me the Lightning and the PL for max betting value.
Winnipeg Jets Betting Preview
The Winnipeg Jets lost to the Habs and Panthers, and play the Panthers next. The Jets have lost 6 straight games.
The Winnipeg Jets are averaging 2.33 goals per game and are scoring 18.2 percent of their power play opportunities. Kyle Connor leads Winnipeg with 9 goals, Mark Scheifele has 6 assists, and Cole Perfetti has 35 shots on goal. Defensively, the Winnipeg Jets are allowing 3 goals per game and are killing 74.2 percent of their opponents’ power plays. Stuart Skinner has given up 21 goals on 236 shots faced, and Clay Stevenson has allowed 14 goals on 108 shots.
Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning lost to the Avalanche and Mammoth, and they play the Predators next. The Lightning have split their last 6 games.
The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.45 goals per game and are scoring on 15 percent of their power-play opportunities. Brandon Hagel leads Tampa Bay with 7 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 10 assists, and Jake Guentzel has 29 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 3.09 goals per game and are killing 76.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 22 goals on 189 shots faced, and Dennis Hildeby has allowed 9 goals on 78 shots.
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The Lightning have won each of their last eight home games against Central Division opponents.
- The Jets have lost 14 of their last 15 night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The home team has covered the puck line in each of the last six games between the Jets and Lightning.
- The Jets have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five road matches when playing with a rest disadvantage against Lightning.
- The Jets have lost the third period in each of their last nine road games when leading after the second period.
Why the Winnipeg Jets will win
- The Lightning have lost seven of their last 11 games as home favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Jets have won three of their last five games as underdogs against the Lightning.
- The underdogs have covered the puck line in 12 of the Jets’ last 13 games.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 10 night games at Benchmark International Arena against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Lightning have lost the first period in five of their last six home games after coming off overtime.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Lightning’s last six games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Each of the Jets’ last four road games against the Lightning following a loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last seven night games.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Jets’ last seven games against Atlantic Division opponents.
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
- Jake Guentzel has scored at least one goal in four of the Lightning’s last five games against Central Division opponents.
- Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six home appearances against Central Division opponents.
- Nikita Kucherov ranks T4th in the league for multi-assist games (4) this season.
Winnipeg Jets Player Prop Facts
- Mark Scheifele has recorded at least one assist in five of his last six appearances with the Jets as underdogs against the Lightning.
- Kyle Connor ranks T5th in the league for Goals (9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 27th in the league in power play percentage this season (15.00%).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 4th in the league for Period 3 goals allowed per game this season (0.55).
- The Winnipeg Jets rank T29th in the league for goals per game this season (2.33).
- The Winnipeg Jets rank T1st in the league in shorthanded goals allowed this season (0).
