Bowling Green vs Western Michigan Prediction Football Picks Today 10/31/26

Bowling Green vs Western Michigan Prediction

In this Bowling Green vs Western Michigan prediction, Western Michigan is coming as -13.5 home favorites. Western Michigan has been the better team, with a better record and in better form. They are 3-1 in their last 4 games and have been better both offensively and defensively than Bowling Green, having a top-35 defense in the entire country, while Bowling Green has the 8^th-worst offense and a -11 point differential this season. I expect an easy one for the home team today, so take Western Michigan and lay the -11.5 points at home.

Western Michigan Broncos Preview

Western Michigan has a 5-3 record and a 3-1 record in the MAC. They are coming off a 38-45 road loss against Toledo and will face Akron and Eastern Michigan next.

Offensively, Western Michigan averages 26.6 points per game, ranking 83rd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 20.4 points per game, which is 35th. Western Michigan averages 325.9 total yards per game (163.8 passing and 162.1 rushing), while allowing 368.6 total yards per game (152.3 rushing and 216.4 passing).

Broc Lowry leads Western Michigan with 1,251 passing yards with 63.6% completed passes and 10 touchdowns. Jalen Buckley leads the team in rushing yards with 634, while Aveion Chenault has a team-high 431 receiving yards and 28 receptions. Defensively, Justyce Betts has a team-high 59 total tackles (25 of them solo), while Dillon Moore leads the team with 3.5 sacks.

Bowling Green Falcons Preview

Bowling Green has a 2-6 record and a 2-2 record in the MAC. They are coming off a 24-31 road loss against Buffalo and will face Kent State and Toledo next.

Offensively, Bowling Green averages 18.8 points per game, ranking 131st in the nation, while defensively, they allow 29.8 points per game, which is 109th. Bowling Green averages 287.8 total yards per game (179.8 passing and 108 rushing), while allowing 383.1 total yards per game (214.8 rushing and 168.4 passing).

Jay Kastantin leads Bowling Green with 1,418 passing yards with 67.0% completed passes and 10 touchdowns. Austin Dendy leads the team in rushing yards with 371, while Winn Sharp has a team-high 305 receiving yards and 25 receptions. Defensively, Dorian Pringle has a team-high 75 total tackles (36 of them solo), while Myles Bradley leads the team with 8 sacks.

Bowling Green Falcons @ Western Michigan Broncos Betting Trends: Week 9

Why the Western Michigan Broncos will win

• The favorite has won each of Western Michigan’s last 18 games.
• Bowling Green has lost eight of its last 10 road games.
• Western Michigan has covered the spread in each of its last five games as a favorite against teams from Ohio.
• Bowling Green has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games as a road underdog.
• Western Michigan has won the first quarter in each of its last three home games in October.
• The favorite has won the first half in 11 of Western Michigan’s last 12 games.

Why the Bowling Green Falcons will win

• Bowling Green has won four of its last five October games as an underdog.
• Western Michigan has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games.
• Bowling Green has covered the spread in four of its last five October games as an underdog.
• Bowling Green has won the first half in each of its last four games in Michigan.
• Bowling Green has won the first quarter in six of its last seven games against Western Michigan.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Bowling Green’s last seven games against teams from Michigan have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the last four games between Bowling Green and Western Michigan have gone UNDER the total points line.

Western Michigan Broncos Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 9, Jalen Buckley leads Western Michigan for touchdowns (8) this season.

Bowling Green Falcons Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 9, Myles Bradley ranks T4th amongst FBS players for sacks (8.0) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Western Michigan ranks T130th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (171).
• Western Michigan ranks 128th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (163.8).
• Bowling Green has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 40+ points of any FBS team this season (2).
• Bowling Green ranks T135th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (2.1).