UConn vs Air Force Prediction Football Picks Today 10/31/26

UConn vs Air Force Prediction

In this UConn vs Air Force prediction, Air Force is coming as -2.5 home favorites. Air Force has a better record but both teams have been in good form lately, as Air Force is 4-1 in its last 5 games and UConn has back-to-back wins and is 3-0 against the spread. UConn has a top-30 offense in the nation and has been red-hot lately, having scored 34+ points in its last three games and has won its only previous meeting against Air Force last season by 10 points. I like UConn as road dogs in this spot, so take UConn and grab those +2.5 points.

Air Force Falcons Preview

Air Force has a 5-2 record and a 3-2 record in the MWC. They are coming off a 14-28 road loss against Wyoming and will face Army and San Jose State next.

Offensively, Air Force averages 28.4 points per game, ranking 70th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 20.9 points per game, which is 40th. Air Force averages 405 total yards per game (67.6 passing and 337.4 rushing), while allowing 296.4 total yards per game (132.6 rushing and 163.9 passing).

Liam Szarka leads Air Force with 296 passing yards with 50% completed passes and 1 touchdown. Evan Medders leads the team in rushing yards with 490, while Simon Kibbee has a team-high 135 receiving yards and 8 receptions. Defensively, Blake Fletcher has a team-high 73 total tackles (35 of them solo), while Max Mustell leads the team with 3 sacks.

UConn Huskies Preview

UConn has a 4-3 record and is coming off a 35-16 home win against Massachusetts. They will face North Carolina and James Madison next.

Offensively, UConn averages 35.6 points per game, ranking 29th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 23.9 points per game, which is 67th. UConn averages 447.6 total yards per game (244.6 passing and 203 rushing), while allowing 392.3 total yards per game (107.6 rushing and 284.7 passing).

Kalieb Osborne leads UConn with 1,594 passing yards with 61.5% completed passes and 12 touchdowns and a team-high 320 rushing yards, while Shamar Porter has a team-high 265 receiving yards and 14 receptions. Defensively, Hayden Pegg has a team-high 47 total tackles (22 of them solo), while K’Von Sherman leads the team with 3.5 sacks.

Connecticut Huskies @ Air Force Falcons Betting Trends: Week 9

Why the Air Force Falcons will win

• Air Force has won 25 of its last 28 games against non-conference opponents at Falcon Stadium.
• The favorite has covered the spread in five of Air Force’s last six games at Falcon Stadium.
• Air Force has won the first half in 12 of its last 14 games against non-conference opponents at Falcon Stadium.
• Air Force has won the first quarter in 11 of its last 14 games against non-conference opponents at Falcon Stadium.

Why the Connecticut Huskies will win

• Air Force has lost four of its last five games against opponents from the FBS Independents.
• Air Force has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games against opponents from the FBS Independents.
• Connecticut has covered the spread in each of its last five games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference.
• Connecticut has won the first quarter in five of its last six games in October.
• Air Force has lost the first half in seven of its last eight games against opponents from the FBS Independents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Air Force’s last 12 games against opponents from the FBS Independents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of Connecticut’s last six games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference have gone UNDER the total points line.

Air Force Falcons Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 9, Liam Szarka leads Air Force for touchdowns (7) this season.

Connecticut Huskies Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 9, Ryder Treadway leads Connecticut for receptions (16) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Air Force ranks 138th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (67.6).
• Air Force ranks 1st among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (36:34).
• Connecticut ranks 136th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (284.7).
• Connecticut ranks 4th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (12.0).