Broncos vs Chiefs Prediction 11/1/26 NFL Picks Today

Broncos vs Chiefs Prediction

The Chiefs and the small chalk is attractive, but I have to side with the Broncos and the points in a game they could win outright. The Broncos are starting to find their form with three straight wins, and there’s confidence against the Chiefs, with them winning three of the last four meetings.

The Broncos have the defense that can get to Mahomes, and we’re seeing Nix start to settle in as he’s gone four straight games without an interception. A battle of two of the better teams in the AFC. I’ll grab the fee points with the Broncos at home.

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview

The Kansas City Chiefs beat the Chargers, lost to the Seahawks, and they play the Jets next. The Kansas City Chiefs have won 5 of their last 6 games. Patrick Mahomes is completing 64.9 percent of his passes for 1,474 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Travis Kelce and Tyquan Thornton have combined for 562 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Xavier Worthy has 24 receptions.

The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 141.5 yards per contest, and Kenneth Walker III leads the way with 701 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 17.2 points and 323.3 yards per game. Nick Bolton leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 59 tackles, R. Mason Thomas has 1 sack, and Mansoor Delane has 1 interception.

Denver Broncos Betting Preview

The Denver Broncos beat the Seahawks and Cardinals, and they play the Panthers next. The Broncos have won 5 of their last 6 games. Bo Nix is completing 59.2 percent of his passes for 1,271 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Jaylen Waddle and RJ Harvey have combined for 493 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Courtland Sutton has 16 receptions.

The Denver Broncos ground game is averaging 94.9 yards per contest, and J.K. Dobbins leads the way with 293 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Denver is allowing 20.1 points and 349 yards per game. Alex Singleton leads the Denver Broncos with 87 tackles, Zach Allen has 4.5 sacks, and Talanoa Hufanga has 2 interceptions.

Why the Denver Broncos will win

• The Broncos have won each of their last 10 Week 8 home games.
• The Chiefs have lost five of their last six games as favorites without Jalen Royals.
• The Broncos have covered the spread in each of their last 10 Week 8 home games.
• The Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Chiefs have lost the first quarter in each of their last four November games as road favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Broncos have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four day games against the Chiefs.
• The Broncos have won the first half in seven of their last eight Week 8 home games.

Why the Kansas City Chiefs will win

• The Chiefs have won 10 of their last 11 November games against AFC West opponents.
• The Broncos have lost three of their last four games without Nik Bonitto.
• The Broncos have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games without Nik Bonitto.
• The Chiefs have covered the spread in four of their last five road games without Chris Jones.
• The Chiefs have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five Week 8 games.
• The Chiefs have won the first half in six of their last seven Week 8 games against AFC opponents.
• The road team has won the first quarter in each of the Broncos’ last five games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Chiefs’ last 11 games following a loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the last seven games between the Chiefs and Broncos have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eight of the last nine games between AFC West teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts

• Courtland Sutton has scored a touchdown in five of the Broncos’ last six day games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
• J.K. Dobbins has recorded 32+ rushing yards in each of his last 20 regular season appearances against AFC opponents.
• Bo Nix has recorded 247+ passing yards in seven of his last eight appearances in day games at Empower Field at Mile High.
• Evan Engram has recorded 25+ receiving yards in each of his six previous appearances in Week 8 day games.
• J.K. Dobbins has recorded 36+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 27 regular season appearances against AFC opponents.
• Jarrett Stidham has recorded two or more completions in each of his six previous appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 8, Alex Singleton has recorded the most tackles in a single game this season (19 vs. the Cardinals, Week 7).

Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Facts

• Kenneth Walker III has scored two touchdowns in four of the Chiefs’ last five games as favorites.
• Noah Gray has recorded 17+ receiving yards in each of the Chiefs’ last four games.
• Kenneth Walker III has recorded 103+ rushing yards in each of his last five appearances against AFC West opponents.
• Kenneth Walker III has scored at least one touchdown in seven of his last eight appearances against division opponents.
• Xavier Worthy has recorded 35+ rushing and receiving yards in six of his last seven appearances in day games.
• Justin Fields has recorded 17+ completions in each of his three previous Week 8 appearances.
• Heading into Week 8, Kenneth Walker III ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Yards Per Carry (5.8) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Broncos – 10 different players have recorded at least one touchdown this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 8.
• Broncos – 11 different players have recorded 1.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 8.
• Heading into Week 8, the Chiefs rank T1st in the NFL in Q3 opponent points per game (2.0) this season.
• Heading into Week 8, the Chiefs rank T1st in the NFL in average points against in third quarters this season (2.0).