FIU vs Missouri State Prediction Football Picks Today 11/7/26

FIU vs Missouri State Prediction

I’m not thrilled to lay points with FIU, but the Panthers play their best ball at home and are the more talented team, player for player. Missouri State is still trying to find itself in the FBS ranks and is a mess defensively, which includes being 122nd in total defense and 117th in scoring defense. An FIU offense that struggles to finish drives should finally see some progress in this spot.

Of course, FIU is one of the better defenses in college football, which includes being 20th in total defense and 34th in scoring defense. This should be a win for FIU as it keeps its bowl hopes alive for another week. The line is more than reasonable. Give me FIU by a touchdown on Saturday.

Missouri State Bears Betting Preview

The Missouri State Bears lost to Delaware, beat Sam Houston, and they play New Mexico State next. Missouri State has lost 4 of its last 6 games. Henry Belin IV is completing 67.5 percent of his passes for 1,071 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Isaiah Myers and Jmariyae Robinson have combined for 1,271 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Mekhi Miller has 13 receptions.

The Missouri State Bears’ ground game is averaging 127.1 yards per contest, and Ramone Green Jr. leads the way with 272 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Missouri State is allowing 30.9 points and 415.8 yards per game. Jared Lloyd leads the Missouri State Bears with 86 tackles, Josh Lukusa has 2.5 sacks, and Jashawn Cooper has 1 interception.

FIU Panthers Betting Preview

The FIU Panthers lost to Middle Tennessee and Liberty, and play Delaware next. The FIU Panthers have lost 3 straight games. JJ Kohl is completing 59.6 percent of his passes for 1,801 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. Maguire Anderson and Kyle McNeal have combined for 829 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Jojo Stone has 16 receptions.

The Florida International Panthers’ ground game is averaging 115.3 yards per contest, and Devonte Lyons leads the way with 435 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, FIU is allowing 20.4 points and 304.4 yards per game. DeAndre Boykins leads the Florida International Panthers with 45 tackles, DeeJay Holmes Jr. has 5 sacks, and Wesley Miller has 1 interception.

Why the Florida International Panthers will win

• The home team has won each of Missouri State’s last five games.
• Missouri State has lost each of its last three road games against conference opponents.
• Florida International has covered the spread in each of its last five games in November.
• Missouri State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The home team has won the first quarter in each of Florida International’s last eight games.
• Missouri State has lost the first half in 11 of its last 12 games as an underdog.

Why the Missouri State Bears will win

• Florida International has lost each of its last three games.
• Florida International has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games.
• Florida International has lost the first half in eight of its last nine home games in November.

Total Points Facts

• Five of Florida International’s last six home games in November have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of Missouri State’s last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Florida International Panthers Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 10, Robert Czeremcha leads the Conference USA for field goals made (13) this season.

Missouri State Bears Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 10, Isaiah Myers leads the Conference USA for touchdowns (9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Florida International ranks T132nd among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (4.3).
• Florida International ranks 129th among FBS teams for points per game this season (18.9).
• Missouri State ranks 134th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (17.8).
• Missouri State ranks T130th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (8.6).