New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers Prediction 11/8/26 NFL Picks Today

The Green Bay Packers and the New England Patriots meet in week 9 NFL action from Gillette Stadium on Sunday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game.

Green Bay Packers vs. New England Patriots Prediction

I’m on the Patriots in this one. I get the case to be made for the Packers who have definitely shown some fight and some improvement in some of their recent games. However, Drake Maye has been basically flawless as a favorite in his career, and while the Patriots had trouble putting Miami away last week, the Patriots have always had issues with the Dolphins and I think that New England focuses up getting back home for this matchup. I look for New England to pick up the win here with the cover as well so give me the Patriots here.

Green Bay Packers Recap

The Green Bay Packers come into this game looking to add on to their 27-19 win over the Carolina Panthers last time out to sit at 5-3 this season. After this game, the Packers will head home for a game against the Minnesota Vikings. Jordan Love has thrown for 2,246 yards, 16 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions while completing 61.5% of his passes to lead the Green Bay Packers passing attack, backed by 192 completions on 312 attempts through eight games played. The Packers’ ground game is spearheaded by MarShawn Lloyd, who rushes for 149 yards and 2 touchdowns on 57 carries, followed closely by Kaleb Johnson with 104 yards on 28 carries, Josh Jacobs adding 75 rushing yards and 1 touchdown on 32 attempts, and Chris Brooks chipping in 70 yards and 1 score on 15 carries. Through the air, Christian Watson leads the receiving corps with 708 yards and 6 touchdowns on 42 catches, while Matthew Golden adds 619 yards and 4 scores on 43 receptions, Tucker Kraft logs 350 yards and 3 scores on 35 catches, Jonnu Smith adds 94 yards on 6 receptions, and Savion Williams rounds out key targets with 84 yards on 8 catches. Defensively, Evan Williams anchors the Packers squad by logging a team-high 71 total tackles over eight games. Altogether, the Packers’ defensive unit has successfully combined to bring down opposing quarterbacks for 22 sacks, 78 yards lost, and 43 pass deflections while also coming away with 10 total interceptions.

Why the Green Bay Packers will win

• The Packers have won each of their last four games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• The Patriots have lost each of their last four games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
• The Packers have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs without Jordan Love.
• The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games without Efton Chism III.
• The Packers have won the first quarter in 10 of their last 12 games as underdogs following a win.
• The Packers have scored the first touchdown in eight of their last nine games.
• The Packers have won the first half in each of their last five games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).

New England Patriots Recap

The New England Patriots come into this game looking to add on to their 24-19 win over Miami in their last game to sit at 5-3 this season. After this game, New England will head on the road for a game against the Detroit Lions. Drake Maye has thrown for 1,983 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions while completing 67.1% of his passes to lead the New England passing attack, backed by 157 completions on 234 attempts through eight games played. The Patriots’ ground game is spearheaded by Rhamondre Stevenson, who rushes for 367 yards and 2 touchdowns on 96 carries, followed closely by Drake Maye with 216 yards and 3 scores on 46 carries, TreVeyon Henderson adding 203 rushing yards and 1 touchdown on 52 attempts, and Corey Kiner chipping in 189 yards on 42 carries. Through the air, DeMario Douglas leads the receiving corps with 332 yards and 4 touchdowns on 26 catches, while Hunter Henry adds 326 yards and 2 scores on 29 receptions, Romeo Doubs logs 261 yards and 3 scores on 14 catches, Rhamondre Stevenson adds 212 yards and 1 score on 23 receptions, and Mack Hollins rounds out key targets with 209 yards on 15 catches. Defensively, Christian Elliss anchors the Patriots squad by logging a team-high 60 total tackles over eight games. Altogether, the Patriots’ defensive unit has successfully combined to bring down opposing quarterbacks for 16 sacks, 76 yards lost, and 23 pass deflections while also coming away with 8 total interceptions.

Why the New England Patriots will win

• The Packers have lost each of their last eight November road games against AFC opponents.
• The Patriots have won each of their last 17 games as favorites.
• The Patriots have covered the spread in each of their last nine games as favorites following a road win.
• The Packers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games without Tucker Kraft.
• The Patriots have won the first quarter in each of their last six day games at Gillette Stadium.
• The Patriots have scored the first touchdown in each of their last eight games at Gillette Stadium.
• The Patriots have won the first half in each of their last 12 games at Gillette Stadium.