Penguins vs Sharks Prediction 11/11/26 NHL Picks Today
Pittsburgh Penguins (6-10) vs. San Jose Sharks (8-11)
November 11, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: San Jose Sharks 114 / Pittsburgh Penguins -135; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
Penguins vs Sharks Prediction
In this Penguins vs Sharks Prediction, the Penguins are coming as -135 road favorites. Both teams have been in terrible form lately, as the Sharks are 2-7 in their last 9 games and have lost two of their last three home games, while the Penguins are 1-5 in their last 6 games and have been terrible on the road with a 2-8 record. I see no value on either side and both teams have been struggling offensively lately, with the Sharks having scored two goals or less in four of their last six games and the Penguins in three of their last four. They also average 5.6 goals per game combined and I cannot see where the offense will come from. Take the under 6.5 in this one.
The Penguins are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Sharks and are 4-1 in their last 5 visits in San Jose. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings.
San Jose Sharks Preview
The Sharks have 17 points this season with an 8-11-1 record and a 4-5-0 home record. They are 9-11 ATS and 9-11 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-2 shootout home win against the Islanders and will face the Predators and Flames next.
Offensively, the Sharks are averaging 2.45 goals per game with 27.6 shots on goal per game and are scoring 20.3% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.50 goals per game on 30.2 shots on goal per game and are killing 77.6% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 219 total penalty minutes this season.
Macklin Celebrini leads the Sharks with 21 points, adding a team-high 7 goals with 77 shots on goal and a team-high 14 assists. Will Smith follows with 13 points with 7 goals and 6 assists, while Ivar Stenberg adds 12 points with 6 goals and 6 assists and Tyler Toffoli adds 11 points with 5 goals and 6 assists. Michael Misa adds 11 points with 4 goals and 7 assists. Yaroslav Askarov is the starting goalie for the Sharks, and he has a 5-8-0 record, with 3.22 GAA and .889 SV%. Alex Nedeljkovic is the backup goalie and he has a 3-3-1 record, with 3.23 GAA and .895 SV%.
Injury Report:
- Igor Chernyshov — IR, est. return Nov 14
- Quentin Musty — IR-NR, est. return Dec 1
- Kyle Keyser — IR-NR, est. return Dec 1
Pittsburgh Penguins Preview
The Penguins have 14 points this season with a 6-10-2 record and a 2-7-1 road record. They are 7-11 ATS and 12-6 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-2 road loss against the Ducks and will face the Senators and Blues next.
Offensively, the Penguins are averaging 3.17 goals per game with 27.3 shots on goal per game and are scoring 20.4% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.56 goals per game on 27.3 shots on goal per game and are killing 76.6% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 116 total penalty minutes this season.
Erik Karlsson leads the Penguins with 18 points, adding a team-high 15 assists, while Tommy Novak leads the team in goals with 7 with 32 shots on goal and 14 points. Evgeni Malkin follows with 16 points with 6 goals and 10 assists, while Sidney Crosby adds 13 points with 6 goals and 7 assists and Rickard Rakell adds 10 points with 6 goals and 4 assists. Arturs Silovs is the starting goalie for the Penguins, and he has a 5-6-1 record, with 3.35 GAA and .873 SV%. Sergei Murashov is the backup goalie and he has a 1-4-1 record, with 3.52 GAA and .880 SV%.
Injury Report:
- Ville Koivunen — Day-To-Day, est. return Nov 11
- Elmer Soderblom — IR, est. return Nov 14
- Bryan Rust — IR, est. return Dec 5
- Trevor van Riemsdyk — IR, est. return Nov 11
- Ryan Graves — IR, est. return Nov 28
Pittsburgh Penguins @ San Jose Sharks Betting Trends: November 11, 2026
Why the San Jose Sharks will win
- The Penguins have lost eight of their last nine road games.
- The underdogs have won three of the Penguins’ last four games.
- The Sharks have covered the puck line in each of their last six night games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games as road favorites.
- The Penguins have lost the second period in five of their last six road games.
Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win
- The Sharks have lost each of their last five games at SAP Center at San Jose after coming off a shootout.
- The Penguins have won four of their last five games at SAP Center at San Jose.
- The Sharks have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven games at SAP Center at San Jose.
- Penguins has covered the puck line in four of its last five road matches when playing with a rest advantage against Sharks.
- The Penguins have won the second period in each of their last four games as favorites against Western Conference opponents when tied after the first period.
Total Goals Facts
- Eight of the Sharks’ last nine night games following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Penguins’ last four games at SAP Center at San Jose following a road loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Seven of the last eight Wednesday night games at SAP Center at San Jose have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last eight games as favorites against the Sharks.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Sharks’ last four games following a win.
San Jose Sharks Player Prop Facts
- Mason Marchment has scored a goal in three of his last four appearances against the Penguins.
- Dmitry Orlov has recorded an assist in four of the Sharks’ last five games as home underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- Dmitry Orlov has scored eight career goals against the Penguins – equal-most against any opponent (including playoffs).
Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts
- Sidney Crosby has scored a goal in each of the Penguins’ last four games as favorites against the Sharks.
- Erik Karlsson has recorded at least one assist in nine of the Penguins’ last 10 road games.
- Tommy Novak has scored six career goals against the Sharks – most against any opponent (including playoffs).
Matchup/League Facts
- The San Jose Sharks rank T1st in the league in short handed goals this season (4).
- The San Jose Sharks have recorded the equal-most wins when trailing after Period 1 this season (3).
- The Pittsburgh Penguins rank T1st in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (0).
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have recorded the equal-largest margin of victory in the NHL this season (7-goals @ Flyers on September, 30).