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Stars vs Jets Prediction 11/12/26 NHL Picks Today

Winnipeg Jets (8-8) vs. Dallas Stars (10-5)
November 12, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Stars -185 / Winnipeg Jets 154; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)

Stars vs Jets Prediction

The Stars should be favored at home as they’re the better team and far more consistent. The Jets have defensive issues that usually don’t improve on the road. The Stars have also won five straight games against the Jets, which includes an overtime win a couple of weeks ago. The Stars have beaten the Jets in 8 of the last 10 games. However, the Stars have games here and there where the offense doesn’t show up, and they’ve scored two or fewer goals in three of their last six games.

We’re getting big plus money with the Jets, who have won four straight games and have scored four or more goals in all of those games. If that continues, we have a live dog on our hands. The Jets are one of the hottest teams in the league right now. I’m going to take a shot with the Jets and a potential big payout. Give me the Jets on Thursday night.

Winnipeg Jets Betting Preview

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Lightning and Devils, and they play the Blackhawks next. The Jets have won 4 straight games. The Jets are 3-4-2 SU on the road, 5-4-1 SU at home, and 11-8 ATS on the season. 

The Winnipeg Jets are averaging 2.79 goals per game and are scoring 23.7 percent of their power play opportunities. Kyle Connor leads the Jets with 15 goals, 6 assists, and 81 shots. Cole Perfetti has 7 goals, 9 assists, and 57 shots. Mark Scheifele has 4 goals, 15 assists, and 41 shots. Defensively, the Winnipeg Jets are allowing 3.42 goals per game and are killing 73.7 percent of their opponents’ power plays. Stuart Skinner has given up 40 goals on 343 shots faced. Clay Stevenson has allowed 16 goals on 123 shots. Nico Daws has allowed 6 goals on 67 shots.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars beat the Sharks, lost to the Blue Jackets, and they play the Sabres next. The Stars have won 3 of their last 4 games. The Stars are 4-1-2 SU on the road, 6-4-0 SU at home, and 7-10 ATS on the season. 

The Dallas Stars are averaging 2.88 goals per game and are scoring on 27.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Mikko Rantanen leads the Stars with 9 goals, 12 assists, and 34 shots. Jason Robertson has 9 goals, 10 assists, and 55 shots. Roope Hintz has 7 goals, 8 assists, and 32 shots. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 2.41 goals per game and are killing 89.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jake Oettinger has allowed 26 goals on 277 shots faced. Casey DeSmith has given up 10 goals on 110 shots.

Stars vs Jets Injury Report

The Stars will be without Miro Heiskanen, Kyle Capobianco, Oskar Back, Matt Duchene, and Luke Krys. Sam Steel is day-to-day.

The Jets will be without Elias Salomonsson and Vladislav Namestnikov. Josh Morrissey is out with a wrist injury. Nick Bjugstad is out with a pectoral injury.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

  • The favorites have won each of the last 10 games between the Jets and Stars.
  • The Jets have lost each of their last six games at American Airlines Center.
  • The home team has covered the puck line in six of the Jets’ last seven games.
  • The Jets have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six road games following a home win.
  • The Jets have lost the third period in each of their last nine road games when leading after the second period.

Why the Winnipeg Jets will win

  • The Jets have won each of their last four games as underdogs following a win.
  • The Stars have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against Central Division opponents.
  • The Jets have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games as underdogs following a home win.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in 23 of their last 26 games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
  • The Jets have won the second period in each of their last five games against the Stars when leading after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Stars’ last six games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Eight of the Jets’ last nine games as underdogs following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Three of the last four games between two teams from the Central Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last seven games following a home win.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Jets’ last seven games.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Roope Hintz has scored at least one goal in each of the Stars’ last four games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.
  • Wyatt Johnston has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Stars’ last eight games.
  • Roope Hintz has scored the last goal in each of the Stars’ last three games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
  • Roope Hintz has scored two goals against the Jets this season – most against any opponent.

Winnipeg Jets Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Connor has scored at least one goal in five of the Jets’ last six games against Central Division opponents.
  • Mark Scheifele has recorded at least one assist in each of the Jets’ last six night games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Dallas Stars rank 1st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (89.66%).
  • The Dallas Stars rank 3rd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.29).
  • The Winnipeg Jets rank 26th in the league for goals per game this season (2.79).
  • The Winnipeg Jets have recorded the largest comeback win this season – trailing by four goals vs. the Canadiens on November 3.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Winnipeg Jets 154

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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