Cincinnati vs Iowa State Prediction Football Picks Today 11/14/26

Cincinnati vs Iowa State Prediction

In this Cincinnati vs Iowa State prediction for this College Football Week 11 matchup on Saturday, November 14^th, Iowa State is coming as -3.5 home favorites. Cincinnati has a better record and both teams have not been in good form lately, with a 1-3 record in their last 4 games respectively. Iowa State has been almost perfect at home but their defense has been struggling lately, while Cincinnati has been winless on the road. Both teams are 11-4 to the over in their last 15 games combined and since I don’t see value on either side, let’s go with the over 59.5 points in this one.

Iowa State Cyclones Preview

Iowa State has a 4-5 record and a 2-4 conference record, sitting on the 11th place of the Big 12, while having a 4-1 home record and a 0-4 away record. They are coming off a 31-42 road loss against Baylor, following a 51-49 home win against Oklahoma State and a 3-39 road loss against Arizona, and will face UCF and Kansas State next.

Offensively, Iowa State averages 29.2 points per game, while defensively, they allow 28.9 points per game. Iowa State averages 381.3 total yards per game (200.3 passing and 181 rushing), while allowing 394.1 total yards per game (163.1 rushing and 231 passing). They average 64.4 plays per game and 5.9 yards per play on offense, while allowing 63.6 plays per game and 6.2 yards per play on defense. Iowa State averages 19.8 first downs per game on offense and 18.4 first downs per game on defense. They average 7.4 yards per pass attempt and 4.9 yards per rush attempt. Iowa State has scored 32 touchdowns this season (14 passing and 16 rushing). They are converting 35.04% of their third downs and 46.67% of their fourth downs. They have thrown 5 interceptions this season, while their defense has intercepted 3 passes.

Jaylen Raynor leads Iowa State with 1,672 passing yards with 59.6% completed passes and 12 touchdowns. Aiden Flora leads the team in rushing yards with 1,119, while Jamal Polite Jr. has a team-high 321 receiving yards and 17 receptions. Defensively, Sullivan Schlimgen has a team-high 84 total tackles (45 of them solo), while Isaac Terrell leads the team with 3 sacks.

Cincinnati Bearcats Preview

Cincinnati has a 5-4 record and a 2-4 conference record, sitting on the 12th place of the Big 12, while having a 5-1 home record and a 0-3 away record. They are coming off a 24-31 road loss against Houston, following a 25-49 home loss against Utah and a 37-24 home win against Texas Tech, and will face Colorado and BYU next.

Offensively, Cincinnati averages 33 points per game, while defensively, they allow 29.4 points per game. Cincinnati averages 446.9 total yards per game (225 passing and 221.9 rushing), while allowing 445.3 total yards per game (169.3 rushing and 276 passing). They average 66.4 plays per game and 6.7 yards per play on offense, while allowing 70.1 plays per game and 6.4 yards per play on defense. Cincinnati averages 22.1 first downs per game on offense and 23.4 first downs per game on defense. They average 8.1 yards per pass attempt and 5.8 yards per rush attempt. Cincinnati has scored 40 touchdowns this season (15 passing and 24 rushing). They are converting 46.96% of their third downs and 52.94% of their fourth downs. They have thrown 3 interceptions this season, while their defense has intercepted 6 passes.

JC French IV leads Cincinnati with 1,990 passing yards with 66.7% completed passes and 15 touchdowns. Cole Tabb leads the team in rushing yards with 812, while JV Gibson has a team-high 515 receiving yards and 39 receptions. Defensively, Jonathan Thompson, Antwan Peek Jr., and Jasper Beeler have a team-high 66 total tackles each (30, 33, and 32 of them solo, respectively), while Patrick Bauer leads the team with 3.5 sacks.

Cincinnati Bearcats @ Iowa State Cyclones Betting Trends: Week 11

Why the Iowa State Cyclones will win

• Cincinnati has lost each of its last eight November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Iowa State has won nine of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Jack Trice Stadium.
• Cincinnati has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Iowa State has covered the spread in each of its last three home games against teams from Ohio.
• Cincinnati has lost the first half in eight of its last nine November games as an underdog.

Why the Cincinnati Bearcats will win

• Iowa State has lost three of its last four games against conference opponents.
• Iowa State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Iowa State’s last nine November games at Jack Trice Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of Cincinnati’s last five games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Iowa State Cyclones Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 11, Aiden Flora leads the Big 12 Conference for rushing yards (1119) this season.

Cincinnati Bearcats Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 11, Cole Tabb leads the league for yards per carry (8.9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Iowa State ranks 1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
• Iowa State ranks T120th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (3).
• Cincinnati ranks 134th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (211).
• Cincinnati ranks T6th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (10.8).