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Steelers vs Bengals Prediction 11/15/26 NFL Picks Today

Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (6-2)
November 15, 2026 8:20 pm EDT
The Line: Cincinnati Bengals -3.5; Over/Under: 49.5
(Get latest betting odds)

Steelers vs Bengals Prediction

In this Steelers vs Bengals Prediction, the Bengals are coming as -3.5 home favorites. Both teams have identical overall records this season and both have been red-hot lately, having won their last four games respectively. The Bengals have been better offensively with the second-best offense in football but the Steelers counter with the 4th-best defense, so this is a coin-flip game and I will go with the plus money. The Steelers are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against the Bengals and have won three of their last four visits in Cincinnati, so I like them as road dogs in this spot. Take the Steelers and grab the +3.5 points.

Cincinnati Bengals Preview

The Cincinnati Bengals have a 6-2 record this season are sitting on the 1st place of the AFC North. They have a 2-1 home record and are 4-1 on the road and are 5-3 against the spread and 5-3 in over/under. They are coming off a 34-17 road win against the Falcons and will face the Commanders and the Saints next.

Offensively, the Bengals average 30 points per game, ranking 2nd in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 21.9 points per game, which is 14th. Cincinnati averages 371.1 total yards per game (285.5 passing and 85.6 rushing), while allowing 354.9 total yards per game (126.6 rushing and 228.3 passing). They average 6.1 yards per play, while allowing 5.7 yards per play to opponents. They score on 48.8% of their offensive drives, while averaging 2.83 points per drive. Defensively, they allow opponents to score on 39.3% of drives, while allowing 1.99 points per drive. Offensively, they have turned the ball over 10 times, while defensively, they have forced 12 turnovers, giving them a +2 net turnover margin.

Joe Burrow leads the Bengals with 2386 passing yards with 74.0% completed passes and 23 touchdowns. Chase Brown leads the team in rushing yards with 397, while Tee Higgins has 48 receptions for a team-high 758 receiving yards. Defensively, Barrett Carter has a team-high 68 total tackles (28 of them solo), while Boye Mafe leads the team in sacks, with 5.5.

Injury Report:

  • Brian Parker II (IR-R, Undisclosed) – Est. return Nov 15
  • Jalen Davis (IR-R, Hamstring) – Est. return Nov 15
  • Andrei Iosivas (IR-R, Thumb) – Est. return Nov 15
  • Kyle Dugger (Questionable, Quadriceps) – Est. return Nov 15
  • Cashius Howell (IR, Wrist) – Est. return Dec 6

Pittsburgh Steelers Preview

The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 6-2 record this season are sitting on the 1st place of the AFC North. They have a 4-0 home record and are 2-2 on the road and are 6-2 against the spread and 4-4 in over/under. They are coming off a 27-6 home win against the Browns and will face the Eagles and the Broncos next.

Offensively, the Steelers average 22.5 points per game, ranking 17th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 18 points per game, which is 4th. Pittsburgh averages 328.4 total yards per game (210.5 passing and 117.9 rushing), while allowing 305.6 total yards per game (83.9 rushing and 221.8 passing). They average 5.2 yards per play, while allowing 5 yards per play to opponents. They score on 38.9% of their offensive drives, while averaging 1.92 points per drive. Defensively, they allow opponents to score on 35.6% of drives, while allowing 1.57 points per drive. Offensively, they have turned the ball over 8 times, while defensively, they have forced 13 turnovers, giving them a +5 net turnover margin.

Aaron Rodgers leads the Steelers with 1871 passing yards with 60.8% completed passes and 13 touchdowns. Jaylen Warren leads the team in rushing yards with 704, while D.K. Metcalf has 33 receptions for a team-high 378 receiving yards. Defensively, Payton Wilson has a team-high 69 total tackles (36 of them solo), while T.J. Watt leads the team in sacks, with 7.5.

Injury Report:

  • Michael Pittman Jr. (IR, Foot) – Est. return Nov 22
  • Derrick Harmon (IR-R, Foot) – Est. return Nov 15
  • Sebastian Joseph-Day (IR, Triceps) – Est. return Nov 27
  • Roman Wilson (IR, Finger) – Est. return Nov 22
  • Gennings Dunker (IR, Knee) – Est. return Nov 15

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals Betting Trends: Week 10

 

Why the Cincinnati Bengals will win

  • The Bengals have won each of their last 10 games as favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Steelers have lost seven of their last eight road games against AFC opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Bengals have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games as favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Steelers have lost the first quarter in three of their last four games at Paycor Stadium following a win.
  • The Bengals have won the first half in 12 of their last 13 games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).

Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will win

  • The Bengals have lost each of their last 10 Week 10 games against AFC opponents.
  • The Steelers have won four of their last five Sunday games as underdogs.
  • The Steelers have covered the spread in each of their last five Sunday games.
  • The Bengals have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five Week 10 games at Paycor Stadium.
  • The Bengals have lost the first half in six of their last seven Week 10 games against AFC North opponents.
  • The underdogs have won the first quarter in each of the Bengals’ last three games.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of the Bengals’ last eight home games without Joe Burrow have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Six of the Steelers’ last seven Week 10 games against AFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Three of the last four games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total points line.

Cincinnati Bengals Player Prop Facts

  • Tee Higgins has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last six home appearances against AFC North opponents.
  • Tee Higgins has recorded 110+ receiving yards in each of his last five November appearances with the Bengals as favorites against AFC opponents.
  • Chase Brown has recorded 47+ rushing yards in 10 of the Bengals’ last 11 games as home favorites.
  • Chase Brown has recorded 78+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Bengals’ last 10 games at Paycor Stadium.
  • Joe Flacco has recorded 269+ passing yards in each of his last five appearances in night games against AFC North opponents.
  • Joe Flacco has recorded 22+ completions in seven of his last eight November appearances with his team as a favorite.
  • Heading into Week 10, Joe Burrow ranks 1st amongst qualified players for passer rating (114.8) this season.

Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts

  • Pat Freiermuth has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Steelers’ last three games against AFC opponents.
  • Aaron Rodgers has recorded 22+ completions in nine of his last 10 appearances in regular season night games.
  • Jaylen Warren has recorded 27+ receiving yards in eight of the Steelers’ last nine regular season games.
  • Aaron Rodgers has recorded 244+ passing yards in 10 of his last 11 road appearances against AFC North opponents.
  • Rico Dowdle has recorded 32+ rushing yards in 11 of his last 12 appearances following a win.
  • Rico Dowdle has recorded 56+ rushing and receiving yards in 10 of his last 11 November appearances.
  • Heading into Week 10, Jaylen Warren leads the league for yards per carry (5.9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Heading into Week 10, the Bengals rank 1st in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (53.6%) this season.
  • Heading into Week 10, the Bengals rank 1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage against (22.2%) this season.
  • Heading into Week 10, the Steelers have overturned the largest 3rd quarter deficit to win a game this season – 13 points vs Tampa Bay.
  • Heading into Week 10, the Steelers have given up the largest 3rd quarter lead to win a game this season – 13 points vs Tampa Bay.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5

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