Washington vs Michigan State Prediction Football Picks Today 11/14/26

Washington vs Michigan State Prediction

In this Washington vs Michigan State prediction for Week 11 of College Football on Saturday, November 14th, Washington is coming in as -3.5 road favorites. Washington has been the better side this year and they already have as many wins away from home as Michigan State has in its own stadium. Michigan State has lost 6 of the last 7, the offensive line is among the worst in the entire country and it now runs into a Washington defense that ranks in the top-50. Give me the visitors as small road favorites, I’m taking Washington and laying the -3.5.

Michigan State Spartans Preview

Michigan State has a 3-6 record and is 1-5 in conference games, which leaves them 17th in the Big Ten. They are 2-3 at home and 1-3 away. Last time out they went to Michigan and won 15-6, after losing 28-10 at UCLA and 24-21 at home against Northwestern in the two games before. Next up are Oregon and Rutgers.

On offense Michigan State is at 19.3 points per game and on defense they allow 23.6. They gain 292.1 total yards per game (182 passing, 110.1 rushing) and give up 337 (194.3 passing, 142.7 rushing). Michigan State runs 64.2 plays a game for 4.5 yards per play, while the other side gets 62.4 plays and 5.4 yards per play against them. First downs are almost even, 18.2 per game for Michigan State and 18.7 for opponents. They get 6.4 yards per pass attempt but only 3.1 per rush attempt. Michigan State has 18 touchdowns on the season, 8 through the air and 10 on the ground. They convert 39.02% on third down and 55% on fourth down. They have been intercepted 6 times and the defense has 4 picks of its own.

Washington Huskies Preview

Washington comes in at 5-4 overall and 2-4 in conference play, which is 10th place in the Big Ten. It is 3-3 at home and 2-1 on the road. Washington lost 28-25 at home to Penn State last time out. Before that it had won two straight on the road, 17-10 at Nebraska and 38-26 at Purdue. Indiana and Oregon are up next.

Washington averages 26.3 points per game and gives up 21.9. It gains 364.4 total yards per game, and the passing game does most of the work with 265.1 yards to 99.3 on the ground. The defense allows 350.4 yards per game, 214.4 passing and 136 rushing. Washington averages 63.6 plays per game and 5.7 yards per play. Opponents average 64.8 plays and 5.4 yards per play. Washington picks up 19.2 first downs per game and allows 19.6. It averages 7.4 yards per pass attempt and 3.6 yards per rush attempt. Washington has 28 touchdowns this season, 19 by pass and 8 by rush. It converts 33.33% of its third downs and 69.23% of its fourth downs. Washington has thrown 7 interceptions, while its defense has picked off 12 passes.

Demond Williams Jr. leads Washington with 1,667 passing yards, 11 touchdowns and a 64.5% completion rate. Brian Bonner Jr. is the top rusher with 318 yards. Chris Lawson leads the receivers with 49 catches for 727 yards. On defense, Alex McLaughlin has a team-high 63 total tackles, 35 of them solo. McLaughlin and Jacob Manu also lead the team in sacks with 3 each.

Washington Huskies @ Michigan State Spartans Betting Trends: Week 11

Why the Michigan State Spartans will win

• The underdog has won five of Washington’s last six games.
• Washington has lost three of its last four road games in November.
• Washington has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Michigan State has covered the spread in four of its last five games in Michigan.

Why the Washington Huskies will win

• Michigan State has lost eight of its last nine games against conference opponents at Spartan Stadium.
• The favorite has won each of Michigan State’s last seven games at Spartan Stadium.
• Washington has covered the spread in each of its last four road games.
• Michigan State has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven November games at Spartan Stadium.
• The favorite has won the first half in 13 of Michigan State’s last 15 games.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of Michigan State’s last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eight of Washington’s last 10 November games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.

Michigan State Spartans Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 11, Liam Boyd ranks T9th amongst FBS players for made field goals (16) this season.

Washington Huskies Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 11, Hunter Green ranks 9th amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (48.1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Michigan State ranks T11th among FBS teams for sacks this season (27.0).
• Michigan State ranks T127th among FBS teams for points per game this season (19.3).
• Washington ranks T11th among FBS teams for sacks this season (27.0).
• Washington ranks 13th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+4.9).