Canelo Alvarez / Jermell Charlo
2023-09-30 23:45:00 EDT
The Line: Canelo Alvarez -450 / Jermell Charlo +325
(Get latest betting odds)
Canelo Alvarez and Jermell Charlo fight Saturday for the WBO light heavyweight title at the T-Mobile Arena. Let’s preview this fight and give out a pick and prediction.
Canelo Alvarez Betting Preview
Canelo Alvarez enters this fight with a 59-2-2 record that includes 39 knockouts. Alvarez has won 10 of his last 11 fights, and he’s coming off a May victory over John Ryder. Alvarez is coming off a one-sided decision where he controlled the fight from start to finish. Alvarez is 33 years old, stands at 5’8”, has a 70.5-inch reach and an orthodox stance. There’s really not much that can be said about Alvarez that hasn’t been said already, as he’s arguably the best pound-for-pound boxer in the world and has a resume that stacks up against anybody. Alvarez is a pressure style fighter who is always looking to be the aggressor, cuts the ring off well and lives off combinations and shots to the body. Alvarez has good technique and his toughness is probably an underrated trait. Alvarez is a tank who does everything well and can fight just about any style. With his consistent schedule and his status, Alvarez is pretty much in a class of his own. This will be Alvarez’s 17th career fight in Nevada.
Jermell Charlo Betting Preview
Charlo enters this fight with a 35-1-1 record that includes 19 knockouts. Charlo has won 6 of his last 8 fights, and he’s coming off a May win over Brian Castano. Charlo is coming off a 10th round knockout and defended is belts for a third straight fight. With finishes in 8 of his last 10 wins, this is Charlo’s chance to put himself in a different conversation. Charlo is 33 years old, stands at 6,0”, has a 73-inch reach and orthodox stance. Charlo is an exciting fighter who gets in and out quickly, throws crisp combinations and has some pop behind his strikes. Charlo doesn’t have the patience or technical style that his brother has, but he’s the aggressor from the start and will simply bully his opponent if he allows. He can take a little more damage than you’d like, but he’s going to get his shots in regardless. Charlo is a fighter worth watching and hopes to put on a show in his biggest bout yet. This will be Charlo’s 9th career fight in Nevada.
Charlo and the plus money is worth a look, as he has the knockout pop, the aggressiveness, and he’s the bigger fighter of the two with about 4 inches in height and nearly 3 inches in reach advantage. This won’t be as easy for Alvarez as the odds indicate. With all that said, I’m not stepping in front of Alvarez, a guy who has consistently been in the conversation of best fighters in the world and checks all the boxes. Alvarez can fight at any style, he’s seen it all, and he’s passed nearly every test over the last decade. Until proven otherwise, I’m going to keep backing Alvarez. I’ll take Alvarez to win by decision to shave the price down.