Texas State vs Incarnate Word College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions 9/18/2021

The Texas State Bobcats meet the Incarnate Word Cardinals in week 3 college football action from Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium on Saturday.

The Incarnate Word Cardinals will be looking to build on their first win of the season in the from of a 40-9 rout of Prairie View A&M last time out. Cameron Ward has thrown for 560 yards and 7 touchdowns while Kevin Brown has 169 rushing yards and 3 scores on the ground for UIW. Taylor Grimes leads Incarnate Word’s receiving group with team-highs of 14 catches for 113 yards along with a pair of touchdowns while Robert Ferrel has 109 receiving yards and Darion Chafin has 97 receiving yards with a pair of TD catches as well.

The Texas State Bobcats come into this one looking to build on a 23-17 OT win over FIU last time out. Brady MCBride’s thrown for 321 yards, 2 touchdowns and 3 picks on 53.5% passing while Calvin Hill has a team-high 103 rushing yards and Brock Sturges has rushed for a pair of scores of his own. Marcell Barbee has a team-high 12 grabs for 123 yards and a touchdown this season for Texas State’s receiving group. Defensively, Troy Lefeged Jr. leads Texas State with 17 total tackles including a team-high 9 solo tackles while Zion Childress also has 9 solo tackles and this season.

Incarnate Word is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 2-4 ATS in their last 6 Saturday road games. Texas State is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games while the over is 4-2 in their last 6 games as a favorite.

I wish I could say I watched enough Incarnate Word football to give an edge here to the Cardinals but realistically, they’re going up against a Texas State team that’s going to be bigger and stronger at both levels and while I’m not backing Texas State as a world-beater, this line just feels a bit light. Give me Texas State by double-digits.