College Football

Louisville vs Virginia 10/9/21 College Football Picks and Predictions

Virginia Cavaliers (3-2) vs. Louisville Cardinals (3-2)
October 9, 2021 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Louisville Cardinals -3 / Virginia Cavaliers +3; Over/Under: 65.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Louisville Cardinals and Virginia Cavaliers do battle Saturday in a ACC week 6 college football contest at Cardinal Stadium in Louisville, Kentucky. The Virginia Cavaliers need a win after splitting their last four games. The Louisville Cardinals look for a win after winning three of their last four games.

The Virginia Cavaliers have lost five of their last six road games. Brennan Armstrong is completing 64.7 percent of his passes for 1,973 yards, 14 touchdowns and four interceptions. Dontayvion Wicks and Billy Kemp IV have combined for 897 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Keytaon Thompson has 20 receptions. The Virginia Cavaliers ground game is averaging 128 yards per contest, and Wayne Taulapapa leads the way with 143 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Virginia is allowing 27.6 points and 412.8 yards per game. Nick Jackson leads the Virginia Cavaliers with 46 tackles, Noah Taylor has three sacks and Anthony Johnson has one interception.

The Louisville Cardinals have won their last four home games. Malik Cunningham is completing 63.8 percent of his passes for 1,307 yards, seven touchdowns and two interceptions. Marshon Ford and Jordan Watkins have combined for 456 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Ahmari Huggins-Bruce has nine receptions. The Louisville Cardinals ground game is averaging 169.6 yards per contest, and Jalen Mitchell leads the way with 331 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Louisville is allowing 28.2 points and 435.6 yards per game. C.J. Avery leads the Louisville Cardinals with 36 tackles, Yasir Abdullah has four sacks and Kei’Trel Clark has three interceptions.

The Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Cardinals are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games and 9-23-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-1 in Cavaliers last 6 games overall. The over is 8-2 in Cardinals last 10 home games. The Cavaliers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

The Virginia Cavaliers aren’t a great football team, but they’ve had an extra week to prepare for this game and they’re quietly second in college football in passing yards and seventh in total offense. The Louisville Cardinals have more balance offensively and are usually good at home, but they’re not good defensively and have found themselves in shootouts in four of their first five games. Louisville is 110th in passing yards allowed, which isn’t what you want to see when going up against Virginia. I’ll grab the free field goal.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Virginia Cavaliers +3

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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