Bowling Green vs Toledo 11/10/21 College Football Picks and Predictions

The Bowling Green Falcons and Toledo Rockets clash Wednesday night in week 11 college football MAC-tion from Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green.

The Toledo Rockets come into this game looking to shake off a 52-49 loss at the hands of Eastern Michigan last time out. Dequan Finn has thrown for 1,178 yards, 8 touchdowns and an interception while also rushing for 348 yards and 6 scores. Bryant Koback leads Toledo with 822 rushing yards while Devin Maddox has a team-high 31 catches for 478 receiving yards and 3 scores. Isaiah Winstead has 375 receiving yards while two Rockets have at least 200 receiving yards and another five have at least 100 receiving yards on the year. On defense, Maxen Hook leads the Rockets with 72 total tackles while Jamal Hines and Desjuan Johnson each have 4 sacks on the year.

The Bowling Green Falcons will attempt to build off of a 56-44 win over Buffalo in their last game. Matt McDonald has thrown for 2,127 yards, 10 touchdowns and 7 interceptiosn on 61% passing while Terion Stewart and Jaison Patterson each have 200+ rushing yards this season. Tyrone Broden leads Bowling Green in receiving with 543 receiving yards and 5 TDs while Austin Osborne and Christian Sims each have 350+ receiving yards. Teron Keith has 209 receiving yards out of Bowling Green’s backfield and another three Falcons have at least 100 receiving yards this season. On defense, Darren Anders leads the Falcons with 91 total tackles while Jordan Anderson has a team-high 3 interceptions and Karl Brooks has a team-high 5 sacks. Walter Haire also has 3.5 sacks and Devin Taylor has a pair of INTs for the Falcons this season.

Toledo is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 games overall. Bowling Green is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog and 8-23 ATS in their last 31 home games while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 conference games.

I get the case that can be made for either side as neither really wants to give anything up here and Toledo’s the better team but Bowling Green’s been really good against the number. Instead, I’m going to side with the over. 51 just seems really low considering that Bowling Green has been hemorrhaging points as of late and Toledo has been known to give up points into the 20s or 30s as well. I’m backing the over in this one.