MWC Championship: San Diego State vs Utah State 12/4/21 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

The San Diego State Aztecs meet the Utah State Aggies on Saturday in the college football Mountain West Championship Game at Dignity Health Sports Park. The Utah State Aggies look to win their 13th conference title in school history. The San Diego State Aztecs look to win their 22nd conference title in school history.

The Utah State Aggies are 6-0 SU on the road this season. Logan Bonner is completing 60.3 percent of his passes for 3,242 yards, 32 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Deven Thompkins and Derek Wright have combined for 2,242 receiving yards and 19 touchdowns, while Brandon Bowling has 44 receptions. The Utah State Aggies ground game is averaging 155.3 yards per contest, and Calvin Tyler Jr. leads the way with 723 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Utah State is allowing 26.3 points and 397.4 yards per game. Justin Rice leads the Utah State Aggies with 105 tackles, Nick Heninger has 5 sacks and Ajani Carter has 3 interceptions.

The San Diego State Aztecs have won six of their last seven home games. Lucas Johnson is completing 61 percent of his passes for 1,091 yards, 9 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Jesse Matthews and Elijah Kothe have combined for 755 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Daniel Bellinger has 29 receptions. The San Diego State Aztecs ground game is averaging 177.7 yards per contest, and Greg Bell leads the way with 949 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, San Diego State is allowing 17.3 points and 314.4 yards per game. Patrick McMorris leads the San Diego State Aztecs with 79 tackles, Cameron Thomas has 10.5 sacks and Trenton Thompson has 3 interceptions.

The Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Aztecs are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 5-2 in Aggies last 7 road games. The under is 37-16-1 in Aztecs last 54 games overall. The Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

The Utah State Aggies have the passing attack to compete in this contest, but that’s about the only thing intriguing. Utah State is one dimensional offensively, has struggled in its biggest games of the season, and has a defense that’s slightly below average across the board. The San Diego State Aztecs are physical in the trenches and have a defense that’s one of the best in the country. It also doesn’t hurt getting a championship game at home. Just under a full touchdown, I have to side with SDSU.